By Nick Berney
Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Tuesday's Newcastle meeting. Selections based on a good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.
Race 1 - 1:50PM SHARP OFFICE PROVINCIAL 2&3YO MAIDEN PLATE (900 METRES) |
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3. Soobooco resumes as a gelding and has trialled well recently at Wyong. Further, that heat was run in slick time and has produced a subsequent winner. First-up last prep, he ran second at Kembla after sprinting hard but was run down late and beat the rest easily. Moreover, repeating that effort/figure will make him hard to beat.
Dangers: 8. Steel My Thunder had every chance first-up but tried hard in a high-rating race relative to the day. The filly has a race experience edge on most of her rivals and receives blinkers for the first time. Debutante 6. Shalaa's Moment has had two quiet trials leading into this event on wet ground. She looks a nice type, and the in-form Brett Prebble rides. First starter 2. News At Five will roll forward from the kind draw and give a sight over the squib distance.
How to play it: Soobooco WIN ($1.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Soobooco runs third in a trial at Wyong on December 16
Race 2 - 2:25PM AUSTRALIAN BLOODSTOCK BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (900 METRES) |
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1. Flying Annie was honest first-up at Gosford, where she beat the rest easily in a solid time race and was only run down over the concluding stages. The mare has been a consistent type her whole career, but the dry track is the key to her chances where she produces her peak figures/performances. Expecting her to roll forward and back in distance is no issue.
Dangers: 7. Markwell Dreamer is 30 days between runs, but he was enormous in defeat last start at Taree after being heavily backed late in the trade $3.6-$2.6. Jockey Sam Clipperton rides from a soft draw, and his last win came over 900m. 6. Border Control ran time breaking through for his maiden win and will be charging late. Add 4. Sharkim to trifectas and first fours.
How to play it: Flying Annie WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Flying Annie runs second at Gosford on December 28
Race 3 - 3:05PM HORSEPOWER MAIDEN PLATE (1200 METRES) |
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He has been a costly conveyance for punters but 8. Shalatin finds his easiest test with a perfect setup. He resumed as a gelding this prep and has only been beaten by narrow margins in high-rating races where he has started a well-fancied favourite. Further, he has a significant ratings edge over his rivals, the bigger track suits and maps to get the gun run.
Dangers: 14. Graceful Force, who presents as a key danger, has trialled well and strikes a dry track. She has a positive map to stalk the speed, receives a gear change and is a key late-market watch. 13. Dear Jewel is coming through strong time races and add 1. Alfano to exotics.
How to play it: Shalatin WIN ($1.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Shalatin runs second at Canterbury on January 1
Race 4 - 3:40PM NZB KARAKA YEARLING SALES START JAN 29 MAIDEN (1400 METRES) |
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Keen on 4. Infinitive third-up coming out of the Chris Waller yard, and all key indicators suggest she is ready to peak. The three-year-old was honest on debut and then had too much last start at Canterbury after being restrained early from a wide draw. Additionally, she rattled home some of the fastest closing splits of the entire meeting, and the form has since been confirmed with a subsequent winner. The filly receives a significant barrier change where she can settle closer from the kinder draw and is coming out of fast-time races at the metropolitan level. In addition, with even luck, expect her to be in the finish.
Dangers: 12. Highland Cathedral is a big improver and looms as a key knockout chance. The Bjorn Baker trained galloper will appreciate the rise in distance and the bigger track. Additionally, her ratings/sectional profile confirms this, and she is over the odds. 8. Twelfth Night was well backed $31-$12 late in the trade on debut, and she found the line well. The filly will be fitter for that and finds barrier 1. Market watch on the first starter 2. Outsider who was ridden out in a recent trial, but the blinkers go on for race day. Add 7. Lady Townson to all wider exotics.
How to play it: Infinitive WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds) & Boxed Quinella 4,8,12.
Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Infinitive runs fourth at Canterbury on January 1
Race 5 - 4:15PM HELLBENT @ YARRAMAN PARK CG&E MAIDEN HANDICAP (1400 METRES) |
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13. Paballo resumes and has trialled well enough recently at Rosehill. The gelding raced well first-up on debut and repeating that effort can put him near the finish.
Dangers: 12. Diaco is coming out of strong time races and is suited to going onto a dry surface. 5. San Lucido hit the line hard first-up and will improve from that effort. Add 10. Last Hand and 6. Bias to all exotics.
How to play it: Paballo E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Paballo's latest trial at Rosehill on December 29
Race 6 - 4:50PM THE PRINCE OF MEREWETHER MIDWAY BM 64 HCP (1200 METRES) |
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2. Cheerful Legend resumed for his new trainer Nathan Doyle at Canterbury 16 days ago and was honest behind Ringmaster, who has subsequently won again in Saturday city grade. Further, the gelding found the line well and indicated that he would step off that performance which his historical ratings profile confirms. Additionally, although comfortably held last prep, he started respectable prices in listed and group class races. The four-year-old has a tricky draw, but he can show his class and hit the line hard with the anticipated genuine tempo. Expect a bold showing.
Dangers: 8. Silk Tie has had no luck all prep and can bounce back into form down in grade. She can rate to win and is a key late-market watch. 9. Spanish Fighter resumes without an official public trial but can figure. 1. Two Up will be fitter and is suited up in trip.
How to play it: Cheerful Legend WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Cheerful Legend runs fifth at Canterbury on January 1
Race 7 - 5:30PM HUNGERFORD HILL BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1600 METRES) |
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Tricky race and leaning towards 7. The Maxinator who was building towards a peak performance last start at Canterbury, but nothing went right over an unsuitable distance. However, before that start, he found the line well running solid closing splits at Warwick Farm, and a repeat of that figure can put him in the finish. In addition, he drops in grade and maps to get the perfect run. Each-way.
Dangers: 12. Empress El raced flat second-up at Warwick Farm last start and can bounce back here. Last prep, she contested the Group 3 Adrian Knox (2000m), albeit being well beaten on a testing surface. She can settle closer up in distance and receives a senior rider. 1. Showtime Lady failed last start but has multiple winning figures for this. She is a key late-market watch. 11. Acosta is a nice type and won in style on debut 22 days ago. He will make his luck up on top of the speed.
How to play it: The Maxinator E/W ($16 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
The Maxinator last start at Canterbury on January 1
Best Bet: Race 4 # 4 – Infinitive
Next Bet: Race 6 # 2 – Cheerful Legend
Best Value: Race 7 # 7 - The Maxinator
All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Newcastle meeting