By John Schell
An in-depth look at the chances of every runner in Saturday's $150,000 Polytrack Provincial-Midway Championships Qualifier (1400m) from Newcastle.
1. TAVI TIME (Kris Lees): Has only had eight starts but has built up a good record winning five of them, including the latest two of them at this track and then in the Mudgee Cup before being spelled. Given a quiet time in a recent trial and is on an upward spiral. Should take a power of beating.
2. NOSEY PARKER (Paul Perry): Did the job well to score by a big margin at this track when last produced. Form before that was solid enough without winning and the stable has been going well of late. Has claims here on the back of the last start effort.
3. SAILOR (Kris Lees): Has shown talent in his career but strikes a tough race here. Was placed at Mudgee and Warwick Farm before failing in the Coonamble Cup before being spelled. Had a couple of trials before resuming with a third at Hawkesbury and place claims look absolute best again here.
4. AUSBRED FLIRT (Brad Widdup): Highly talented mare with five wins from 15 starts and has been placed in a Group 3 Angst Stakes. She ran fifth in The Invitation last campaign before tackling Group 1 grade at Flemington in the Empire Rose Stakes. Has had two trials to prepare for this and is worth plenty of thought.
5. PRIME IMPACT (Kris Lees): Hit his straps midway through last year when winning three starts on end at Taree, Gosford and this track, then was midfield at Doomben before being spelled. Had two trials before resuming with a down the track effort behind Nosey Parker and has to improve on that here in order to be a winning chance.
6. LA VESUVIUS (Patrick Cleve): Has won three of his seven starts but they have been in much easier grade than what he is up against in this. Recent trials have been solid but this looks a bit beyond him at this stage of career.
7. VAIN INVADER (Theresa Bateup): Resumed from a spell with a midfield effort at Warwick Farm then did the job well to score a strong win against easier grade at the Sapphire Coast. Has shown his share of ability but this looks a tough task.
8. MAGNATEAR (Sam Kavanagh): Talented type with a win and four placings from just the seven starts and was a winner at this track four starts ago. Has been placed at Randwick at his latest two starts and while this is a tough task, he does have the ability to give some cheek.
9. ALWAYS IN (Kim Waugh): A mare that has been coming good at the right time having won two of her latest three starts. Scored at Muswellbrook before a second at this track then came thundering home from well back to win at Canterbury under lights. Looks to be on the up and a forward showing again wouldn’t surprise.
10. LOUNERSE (David Atkins): Is a winner of two of her three starts and shows talent. Won at Tuncurry and this track at first two starts then was spelled. Resumed with a third here in a small field and while she has ability she will be better placed further down her career.
11. DARK GLITTER (Mike Van Gestel): Very inexperienced with just three starts to her name but she had managed to score two wins. Hit the line well to score a debut win at Canberra then was just behind the placings at Moruya when finishing well again. Comes into this on the back off a good last start win at Hawkesbury but she’s eligible for easier races.
12. LIKA SUN (Steve Hodge): Has only had the one win from eight starts and while she’s been placed in three other runs this isn’t going to be an easy task for her at this stage of her career. Prefer others in this grade.
SELECTIONS
1 TAVI TIME
4 Ausbred Flirt
8 Magnatear
2 Nosey Parker
All the fields, form and replays for Saturday's Newcastle meeting