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Neil Evans' Tips For Newcastle (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track Good 4 and rail true

Race 1 FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1150m):

We start with the sprinting girls on a surface that could even reach a Good 3 with dry weather continuing and strong winds about. Home track four-year-old 1. Island Lass normally takes a run to get her prep going, but she's been given two progressive trials up to 1000m, and draws to find the right trail.

Dangers: Tough four-year-old 2. Millingimbi has beaten all bar the winner in her last three, twice attacking the line late from midfield, but rises to a career high 61kg. Keep safe 5. Ideel Girl who draws inside second-up after a dominant win against similar opposition at double figure odds. Watch the betting on 3. Capital Gamble a month between runs and coming through the same formline as the former, and has trialled okay since.

How to play it: Island Lass to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1150m):

Keen on progressive country colt 2. Remlaps Commander by Extreme Choice who can break through at only his second start. Did well to finish only a bit over a length from a highly touted and hot favorite on debut at the provincials, and this looks a nice follow-up and thin race.

Dangers: Emerging 1. Don'tcha Think boxed on okay after leading to the turn on debut in heavy ground, and can give a big sight here with a stronger rider taking over. Big gap to the rest.

How to play it: Remlaps Commander to win and quinella 1 and 2
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1150m):

Now the boys' edition of that opening race. Emerging 5. Bonjour Rupert tracked the speed before careering past to win easy at his second start, and he looks above average.

Dangers: Improving 4. Boss returned with a dominant all-the-way win in the country, and again drew to roll to the front; while included in wider exotics, 3. Trumpster deep into his prep; and 1. The Fossil at big odds who can improve sharply second-up with blinkers off again.

How to play it: Bonjour Rupert to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN HCP (1350m):

Not much separates a few of these. Provincial mare 1. Star Mission was good late, resuming in a very handy provincial maiden after dropping out the back and covering ground. Despite the weight hike, will take great benefit from that run, and was only beaten narrowly second-up last prep.

Dangers: Improving mare 2. Miss Capella closed off well enough second-up, and stays at the distance. Track the betting on debutant filly 4. Vancouver's Gem who debuts for a strong provincial yard behind two plain trials, although may have resented the synthetic in the most recent. Keeping safe honest three-year-old 6. Ballistic Theory who gets winkers applied fifth-up; while 10. Oakfield Feather and improving local mare 13. Topender both third-up; head the rest.

How to play it: Star Mission to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN HCP (1350m):

The boys turn now, and it's a tricky and open affair, with plenty either resuming or very early in the prep. Resuming three-year-old 11. Wild Irish Rover bolted in the second of two Randwick trials, and looks ready to go in what is a weakened race.

Dangers: So You Think three-year-old gelding 9. Rise To It debuts in blinkers for a powerhouse metro stable behind two progressive trials. Include in exotics, 2. Blue Guitar and 10. The Seeker both second-up.

How to play it: Wild Irish Rover to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1350m):

Capable country mare 9. Watch Me Rumble is primed to peak third-up, with a superior hoop taking over.

Dangers: Improving stablemate 5. Volterra comes off a narrow barrier-to-box second-up CL1 win in weaker company, although up in weight from a tougher draw. Tough seven-year-old 2. Hemsted has won three straight in the country, but the weight and inside draw here against better opposition could both come against.

How to play it: Watch Me Rumble to win
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R2 2. REMLAPS COMMANDER
R5 11. WILD IRISH ROVER

BEST VALUE:
R1 1. ISLAND LASS

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Newcastle meeting

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