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Neil Evans' Tips For Hawkesbury (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track Heavy 9 and rail True

Race 1 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):

Very tough opener in these conditions. Improving filly 12. Proud Image has found the line in her last two on heavy ground. That experience, as well as several others naturally unproven in this going, augurs well for this girl to break through fourth-up over a bit further in her first real prep.

Dangers: Sebing filly 9. Gelsey debuts off some progressive work at the trials; while stablemate filly 10. I'm Madeline is by Slipper winner Capitalist, and has been afforded an extra trial. Expecting a much better run in this going at second start from Godolphin filly 11. Lilliput who did nothing on debut in the country.

How to play it: Proud Image to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1500m):

Emerging Vadamos colt 2. Kazalark will find this easier than a debut field at Rosehill where he still got through the line okay from midfield, and draws to get a soft run in a weakened race.

Dangers: Keep safe 3. Diamond Drummer who improves sharply second-up; while 13. Scarlett Shadow also second-up carrying 1kg less; and 14. Supra Marnium third-up; both go in exotic plays.

How to play it: Kazalark to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 CLASS 1 HCP (1500m):

Progressive metro four-year-old 3. Gigantic gets his chance to go back-to-back in what is now a very weak race and field of only four. Surged down the middle to win his maiden in heavy ground 12 days ago.

Dangers: Another last start maiden winner 5. Dreamdeel can run the quinella third-up off a long break.

How to play it: Gigantic to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1100m):

All aboard smart and resuming No Nay Never three-year-old 1. Chipper who looks ready to rock for a second prep off two progressive trials, winning the latest in dominant fashion on heavy ground.

Dangers: Improving four-year-old 2. Oceans One gets winkers third-up off a long break; watch the betting on Counterattack mare 3. Counter Move who debuts behind some eye-catching work at the trials; and 9. Cassimor drops sharply in weight second-up.

How to play it: Chipper to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1100m):

Same formula again, and promising Kermadec four-year-old 5. Huon can resume for a second prep off two trials with a bang. Never out of the money last time, including a dominant front-running maiden win as a hot favourite.

Dangers: Honest 7. Moralist bypassed the Canberra meeting last Friday to be saved for this, and right at home in wet ground; while 8. No Statement draws inside with a 3kg claim, and all his best form is on rain-affected ground.

How to play it: Huon to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1100m):

The girls edition is more open and far tougher, although leading the value argument is underrated provincial mare 2. Starboreta who can launch first-up at a big price. Hasn't raced for five months but comes to hand quickly in these conditions, and looked the part winning a recent heavy track provincial trial. Drawn to get to the middle, and produce a superior finish.

Dangers: Plenty of them headed by 6. Zelady Luck who returns off two forward trials, with blinkers coming off. Included in exotics, well-bred 1. All Girls back in class third-up; and lightly raced filly 11. Laroupe who steps up from an all-the-way maiden victory first-up.

How to play it: Starboreta each way
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1300m):

Lightly raced Savabeel mare 3. Newley Wed resumes for a second prep, and has plenty of ability. Didn't always put it together last prep either side of a dominant maiden win at the provincials, but stable was content to tackle deeper metropolitan opposition straight away. Has trialled quietly, and thrives on wet tracks in a weakened race.

Dangers: Progressive colt 8. Surfers Royale comes back to provincial level after fading in a stronger city race. Keep safe progressive filly 7. Optimo Ballerina third-up after being preferred here to Monday's Beaumont meeting.

How to play it: Newley Wed to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 OPEN HCP (1300m):

Staying at the distance for the closer, and tough country four-year-old 2. Xtra Approval can take advantage of a small field, rolling forward from the jump. Is rock hard fit, and led all the way to win a Rosehill Highway at big odds two starts ago.

Dangers: Trained on the track and very capable in rain-affected ground, 8. Lady Shenanigans is the clear quinella runner.

How to play it: Xtra Approval to win and quinella 2 and 8
Odds and Evens: Evens

BEST BETS:
R4 1. CHIPPER
R7 3. NEWLEY WED

BEST VALUE:
R2 7. FLEXING

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Hawkesbury meeting

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