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Neil Evans' Tips For Gosford (Thursday)

By Neil Evans

Track improving Soft 5 and rail True:

Race 1 4YO & UP MAIDEN HCP (1600m):

The older maidens get us rolling over the mile, and this shapes nicely for progressive four-year-old 3. Maralago to peak third-up. Has attacked the line late in two runs back from a spell, and carries 1kg less here with a senior rider hopping on. Significantly, was scratched from Canterbury on Wednesday to be saved for this.

Dangers: No doubting early favourite 1. Mr Hemsworth is also knocking on the door third-up, and draws to get a nice trail just off the speed. Big gap to the rest headed by 5. Julimar who improves third-up from a softer draw.

How to play it: Maralago to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 2 BENCHMARK 64 HCP (2100m):

Competitive battle over a staying trip. Keen on provincial four-year-old 2. Celestial Fury who is hard fit deep into the prep, and drops back to a more suitable distance. Previous form in and around this trip was good enough to win here, and gets a little weight relief on a seven day back-up.

Dangers: Honest mare 5. Isla draws to get a soft run, and comes through a handy provincial CL1. Home track mare 4. Dissenter shoots for two straight wins backing up quickly from that same race as the top selection, although the second horse that day had no luck and was a moral beaten.

How to play it: Celestial Fury to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1200m):

Promising and consistent four-year-old 1. Boston City can strike second-up here from the inside draw, and with the main rival preferred at Wednesday's Canterbury card. Ran home well at Kembla in his first outing for five months, and a stronger rider goes on.

Dangers: Watch the betting on Godolphin filly 4. Moonflower who debuts behind a string of well spaced and improving trials; while 5. Royal Empress is clear best of the rest at her second start.

How to play it: Boston City to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 MIDWAY CLASS 1 HCP (1000m):

Like provincial four-year-old 3. Oxford Vision who is tough and fit, and finds an ideal race map, parking right behind the speed. Overdue for a second win having been placed a further nine times from 14 starts, and importantly blinkers have been added.

Dangers: Another one knocking on the door is 1. Vegas Raider who has been up for a while, and hit the line well in a deeper metro contest three weeks back. Query at the price, though, lumping 61.5kg. Keep safe home tracker 2. Calamity Fox fifth-up from the fence draw; while 5. Notifies second-up with a key gear change is a worthy exotic inclusion.

How to play it: Oxford Vision to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 5 BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1600m):

Back out to the mile, and progressive filly 6. Fairway Star can hit a peak fourth-up here in a weakened race. Won fresh on the Beaumont track before two steady efforts running home up to this grade. The one to beat.

Dangers: The betting will tell a story with 3. Spitfire who scraped home to win a country maiden two starts back before finishing well enough in a Canberra CL1 over this trip; while 8. Bel Suono heads the rest.

How to play it: Fairway Star to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 MAIDEN PLATE (1200m):

As long as he tucks in for some cover from the outside draw, provincial three-year-old 1. Ambassadors can run over the top of an ordinary field first-up behind two progressive trials, and with a major rival very unlikely to start.

Dangers: Expecting a better second-up run from 7. Surreal Lily ridden quieter from a wider gate; while 11. Serafima third-up can run into the minor end of the money.

How to play it: Ambassadors to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 7 FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1200m):

Plenty of chances in this one, but none better than progressive metro four-year-old 2. Smart Little Miss who guns for a second straight win in similar company. Was strong through the line here three weeks ago in winning with a little in hand, and the drying track is a further plus.

Dangers: Provincial-based 1. Moon Reader will find this much more to her liking after failing to run home off a long break in tougher BM 78 city grade. Watch the money too on stablemate 5. Tintookie who wasn't far off the top selection second-up when backed from $3.30 into $3.00.

How to play it: Smart Little Miss to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1200m):

Similar race to close, and keen on metro four-year-old 2. Famous Pedrille resuming here behind two forward trials, despite drawing the outside gate.

Dangers: Keep safe 6. Retiro second-up in a race of less depth; while 10. Diamond Hands third-up from a better trailing draw; and stablemate 11.Divine Okay fourth-up; are on the next line.

How to play it: Famous Pedrille to win
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R3 1. BOSTON CITY
R7 2. SMART LITTLE MISS

BEST VALUE:
R4 3. OXFORD VISION

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday's Gosford meeting

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