Latest News

By Nick Berney

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Wednesday’s Gosford meeting. Selections based on a good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

6. Youthfull wasn’t suited last start after getting too far back in a farcical tempo and ran on well. Further, the form of that race has since been confirmed with three subsequent winners. The mare has had excuses in her past two starts, and she profiles well for this event. She can settle much closer from the softer draw; her sectional profile suggests she is ready to peak and brings a strong starting price profile relative to her rivals. Expect a bold showing.

Dangers: 1. Chappelli was run to suit last start at Hawkesbury and ran on well. He can rate to win. 5. Savanaci broke through for her maiden win last start and add 2. Do Well Legend to wider exotics.

How to play it: Youthfull WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Youthfull last start at Kembla on November 12

2. My Eloise produced a career peak figure first-up at Hawkesbury and ran fast time. Further, the mare was heavily backed $1.90-$1.70; she did it on both ends leading at a strong tempo and sprinting one of the fastest 400m-200m splits of the entire meeting in 10.68. The Joe Pride galloper brings the clear best last start figure, the tight-turning track suits and expect her to roll forward and be hard to catch.

Dangers: 1. Fashion Legend raced greenly first-up and wasn’t suited to the 1000m specialist trip. The blinkers come off, and the step up in distance is ideal. Additionally, he can settle closer from the soft draw and is a definite chance. 6. Play My Song led at a fast pace and tried hard to the line when running second at this track 11 days ago. She will be fitter for that and is ready to peak third-up. 4. Lucky Variety was run to suit but hit the line well, breaking through for her maiden win.

How to play it: My Eloise WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

My Eloise wins at Hawkesbury on November 9

4. Lady Superspy had too much to do first-up at Hawkesbury over an unsuitable distance. Further, she wasn’t suited to the sit and sprint tempo but once balanced up; she made ground over the final furlong. The five-year-old will be fitter; the step up to 1600m is ideal, and the dry surface suits.

Dangers: 2. Shaka Rock was honest last start in a solid time race but finished off greenly. He is rock-hard fit, brings a competitive last-start figure and must be respected. 3. Noble Cause is in career-best form and has won his past two starts. He must step in grade but maps to have all favours. Add 7. Charlie's Law to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Lady Superspy WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Lady Superspy first-up at Hawkesbury on November 17

4. Noble Empress, who represents value, resumes after winning a recent trial at this track, and she went through the line full of energy under a tight grip. First-up last prep, she was slow away and had too much to do. Further, she wasn’t suited by the pace of the race, had to make a long wide sustained run, and clocked the meeting’s fastest 400m-200m split in 11.52 before peaking. The four-year-old has a tricky map, but can rate to win with slight improvement and is over the odds.

Dangers: 5. Ovoid wasn’t suited over 900m first-up, but he ran on well into second behind an improving type in Capital Theatre. His figure suggests he has come back improved and can settle closer from the soft draw. Definite chance. 2. Beirut returns and has trialled well enough. She raced well in her debut prep and brings strong form lines. 1. Smooth Flight will improve with fitness, and 3. Mr Wallace is looking for the 1200m third-up.

How to play it: Noble Empress WIN ($13 TAB Fixed Odds) & Ovoid WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Noble Empress wins a trial at Gosford on November 21

6. Lovero was well backed late in the trade $2.4-$1.9 first-up at this track/distance 34 days ago, and she bolted in. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day after adjustments and the decisive margins throughout confirmed the quality of the race. The mare did it on both ends, chasing a fast pace and clocking one of the fastest final 200m splits of the meeting in 12.08. She has key factors/indicators in her favour and maps to have all favours from the inside draw. Expect a bold showing.

Dangers: 2. Morean, an intriguing runner who has joined the Kris Lees yard, is a key late market watch. She has competitive figures and has trialled well enough with a senior rider going on for race day. 4. Laroupe can bounce back down in grade and add 8. Quilting who has come back improved this prep.

How to play it: Lovero WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Lovero wins at Gosford on October 27

5. Fast Response always faced the breeze on debut at Newcastle and was honest in defeat. Further, he never shirked his task to the line and that race rated well relative to the day. The gelding will benefit from that race experience, maps well and the tight-turning track suits.

Dangers: 2. Arch Of Titus resumes as a gelding and has trialled well enough. He brings a strong ratings profile to this event, albeit all wet form. 7. Shigeru is coming through a time race and receives barrier 1 with Tim Clark riding. Add 9. Consenza, who has a sense of timing about her.

How to play it: Fast Response WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Fast Response last start at Newcastle on November 15

7. Oakfield Paperbark was slow out first up at this track/distance and just too far back. To her credit, she ran on hard and clocked one of the fastest final 200m splits of the meeting in 11.52. The mare can settle closer from the soft draw, and the anticipated genuine tempo will only benefit her. In addition, she brings a race experience edge and expect her to be in the finish. Each-way.

Dangers: Forget 2. Calamity Fox’s last start where nothing went right, and he can bounce back with strong form lines. First starter 11. Always In has shown ability at the trials, and she is a late market watch. Add 14. Quick As A Flash and 6. Victory lane to all exotics.

How to play it: Oakfield Paperback E/W ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Oakfield Paperback runs third last start at Gosford on November 8

9. Change Is Coming demolished his rivals in a recent heat at Warwick Farm, and as expected, he clocked slick time relative to the morning. The gelding steps up in grade but looks to have come back improved entering his second prep. In addition, the tight-turning track suits, and he’ll take some catching.

Dangers: 10. Inequality led at a strong pace last start, battled on well and is ready to peak third-up. 4. I’ll Tell You Now has a tricky draw but is rock-hard and has a strong starting price profile. Add 6. Reveal The Magic to all exotics.

How to play it: Change Is Coming WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Change Is Coming wins a trial at Warwick Farm on November 18

Best Bet: Race 5 # 6 - Lovero

Next Best/Value: Race 4 # 4 – Noble Empress & # 5 – Ovoid

All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Gosford meeting