By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a good track.
Race 1 - 1:25PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1400 METRES) |
---|
5. Ceolwulf hit the line with plenty of purpose once he balanced up on debut at Canterbury and looks open to plenty of improvement. Back on top of the ground and on his home track, from a nice draw he should be playing a part in the finish.
Dangers: 4. Dimitrov comes through the same race where he had barrier one and tracked the winner but fell short by under a length. Draws out but form around him is solid and he must be entertained. 10. Capzinzi was solid in the market at her second start at Canterbury a month ago and ran on into third. Saved from an easier race on Sunday for this and is one of the chances. 2. Mojave Desert showed some promise with a Flemington placing two starts back before failing when in the market in a stakes race in Brisbane. Isn’t coming off a long break so has some fitness on his side and with JMac riding has to be kept safe.
How to play it: Ceolwulf WIN ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Ceolwulf runs third at Canterbury on August 16
Race 2 - 2:00PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES) |
---|
4. Fightertown is back as a gelding and that could be significant to his prospects here first-up. So much to like about his recent trial win and if he runs up to it, and should have his chance to from an ideal draw, then he’s set to be very competitive.
Dangers: 2. Massira has been double figure odds in open company against his own age in two runs since a maiden win on a heavy track. Trialled okay against some handy ones at Hawkesbury and is worth keeping an eye on. 1. Infatuation has disappointed in two runs back in stronger company so gets the chance to lift back to midweek grade. Only beaten two lengths in the Rosebud last time and if she finds her best she’s competitive. 5. Disney Castle enjoyed a nice run on debut and took advantage with a solid Kembla win, beating a subsequent winner. In the mix.
How to play it: Fightertown E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Fightertown wins a Rosehill trial on August 22
Race 3 - 2:35PM VICTOR LUDORUM @ DARLEY HANDICAP (2200 METRES) |
---|
1. The Milkybar Kid is working up to a win and the 3kg claim could be pivotal if he can get some control up on the speed. Tried hard at Canterbury two weeks ago and is the likely leader from the inside alley. Should be hard to run down.
Dangers: 6. Karmazone ran a close second to Chateaux Park recently and the form has held up since then. Honest type who will be competitive with these. 5. Whangaehu is struggling to win one at the moment but he wasn’t disgraced behind Kirkeby two runs ago before leading at Rosehill and dropping out. Bobs up so can’t leave him out of the chances. 4. This'llbetheone has blinkers first time here after an even effort in the same race as Karmazone where he was beaten under two lengths. If they do the trick he's a chance.
How to play it: The Milkybar Kid WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
The Milkybar Kid runs second at Canterbury on August 16
Race 4 - 3:10PM RANVET HANDICAP (1600 METRES) |
---|
1. Hollywood Hero was far from disgraced after leading over the Randwick mile last time, he was only reeled in at the 100m and beaten a couple of lengths. Two previous efforts from just off the pace were strong and isn’t badly in with just 4.5kg over the limit. Chance to bounce back.
Dangers: 4. Lolly Yeats improved nicely second-up then consolidated with an all the way win over this course three weeks ago as favourite. Form out of that race has been fair but she’ll give herself every hope. 5. Eastern Glow shapes as a big improver after beating one home second-up at Rosehill. Was 1100m up to 1400m there off a slashing resumption and should appreciate getting out to the mile now. Go well. 9. Sophia’s Magic has been mixing her form. Effort two runs back at Randwick would put her in the finish somewhere but she disappointed at Canterbury when well supported two weeks back. Take on trust.
How to play it: Hollywood Hero WIN ($3.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Hollywood Hero runs second at Rosehill on August 5
Race 5 - 3:45PM HEADWATER @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
---|
10. Orzala is an up and comer who was excellent when resuming at Newcastle a few weeks ago. She was a drifter in betting there but attacked the line nicely late suggesting she’s come back well and is looking for more ground. Every chance to back that up here.
Dangers: 7. Coriolis started a solid enough favourite at Canterbury off a month’s break but didn’t quite dash as expected from worse than midfield. Made up ground so likely to be fitter for it and worth another chance. 8. Outsider has been runner-up at her past two starts over the mile at this track and comes back 300m in trip here. Whether that’s against her remains to be seen but barrier two and Nash says she’ll be competitive. 1. Kibosh is fitter for two runs back and was placed in a similar event here before a spell. Can improve.
How to play it: Orzala WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Orzala runs second at Newcastle on August 10
Race 6 - 4:20PM ACY SECURITIES HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
---|
7. Silvanito ran up to the support when downing Orzala to win at Newcastle third-up. Has a wide gate here but that’s not necessarily a bad thing at this start point and Nash does ride this track well. Must be respected.
Dangers: 9. Whinchat bounced back to his best form with an all the way win at Canterbury two weeks ago and likely to try the same tactics from a nice draw here. If he can hold that form he’s in the finish. 4. Capital Asset didn't have the best of luck second-up and was only beaten a couple of lengths. Might want it softer but drawn to get every chance. 8. River Snitty was well supported when he resumed at Hawkesbury and got the job done narrowly. Could want further now but can't leave out.
How to play it: Silvanito WIN ($3.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Silvanito wins at Newcastle on August 10
Race 7 - 4:55PM TAB HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
---|
4. Lavish Empire has his first start for the Snowdens since scoring over this course back in May. Liked his recent trial and he’s shown some talent in his five starts to date. Draws okay, an support would be significant, and he should run well.
Dangers: 6. Silentsar started double figure odds when leading all the way under 61kg at Canterbury first-up. Imagine he will press to lead again and give a good account up in grade. 17. Millybella isn't far away at this level and her run here over 1000m last time was full of merit. Right in this. 5. Nikohli Beagle is always a chance in a race like this and he resumes with a couple of trials under his belt. Should be hitting the line.
How to play it: Lavish Empire WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds).
Lavish Empire’s trial at Hawkesbury on August 21
All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting