By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Rosehill meeting. Selections based on a good track.
Race 1 - 2:00PM TOYOTA FORKLIFTS HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
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3. Spywire has had just the one public trial and he was quite sharp in winning over 900m here just over a week ago. He was a $520,000 purchase. Looks hard to beat given the improvement he should have.
Dangers: 7. Canara trialled quite well in her first outing when landing just behind the speed then, not asked to compete in her second hitout so not paying a lot of attention to that. Well worth keeping safe. 1. Everybody Rise showed improvement into his second trial when run down late. He was a $1.4 million yearling and is in the mix. 6. Vinniro has been handy enough in two trials and from gate one will have every chance to make an impression.
How to play it: Spywire WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).
Race 2 - 2:35PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1400 METRES) |
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7. Sensory made a promising debut at Newcastle charging into third after being a little green on the home turn. Was a drifter in betting there so likely open to improvement and with gate one and James McDonald to ride she should be very competitive here.
Dangers: 9. Waikato Girl is another who created a handy impression at her first start as she ran on from near last into third at Kembla a couple of weeks ago. Extra 100m a plus and she could measure up. 1. Dolzino gave a good sight up front before being run down in the closing stages at Kembla at his third start. Not done a whole lot wrong and could be among the placings again. 6. I Am Smiling hasn't shown a lot in her trials but she's so well bred, by I Am Invincible out of Lucia Valentina, she must be showing something at home.
How to play it: Sensory WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds).
Sensory runs third at Newcastle on November 4
Race 3 - 3:10PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1200 METRES) |
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2. Fleetwood has the form on the board to be very hard to beat on the back of an eye-catching first-up second to Gustosisimo at Kensington a few weeks ago. That has stood up well and he’s fitter for the run back. Extra 100m a plus and big chance to go one better.
Dangers: 4. Runwiththetide was always handy in the run and held them off to score at Kensington first-up. Yet to run a poor race and in the small field could easily put himself in the finish again. 7. Armed Forces is back in class after tackling a Listed race at Randwick last time out. Wasn’t beaten far but fair to say he’s been a bit disappointing to date. 3. Zouprince showed early promise with a debut placing then a maiden win before failing at Canterbury in July. Has been trialling in open company and worth keeping an eye on here.
How to play it: Fleetwood WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Fleetwood runs second at Kensington on October 25
Race 4 - 3:45PM GHAIYYATH FIRST YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1500 METRES) |
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2. Molly Nails has found a nice race to post an overdue win. A month between runs going into her close up fourth at Kensington a few weeks ago. Racing well without the best of luck and gets a 3kg claim to give her every chance.
Dangers: 4. Sky Diamonds has mixed her form a bit this time in but expect improvement on her latest effort at Wagga off a six week break. Draws well and won’t get a better chance to measure up at this level. 5. Miss Hades won at Cootamundra and Orange before a solid third at Kembla where she hit the lead before being run down in the last 100m. Lightly raced and one of the main chances. 3. Miss Checkoni has been going okay in Midways of late particularly her fourth at Rosehill in September at big odds. Should put herself on speed here and could give some cheek.
How to play it: Molly Nails WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).
Molly Nails runs fourth at Kensington on October 25
Race 5 - 4:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
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8. Atlantic Ocean didn’t have the best of luck off almost a two month break at Kensington last time out and he can be forgiven for that. He’s been a little costly but if he runs up to his previous effort behind Silvanito he’ll be good chance to break through.
Dangers: 3. Step Aside is lightly raced and has a handy record and nice fresh credentials. Won in this grade over 1300m in June and while his trials have been quiet he could easily jump out of the ground. Keep safe. 2. Cloudland did a good job when resuming to run down Shadows Of Love and that form has held up okay since. Fitter and while up 2kg has barrier one to give him every chance. 6. The King was always in control as he led by a margin and held them off to score at Kembla following a string of seconds. Bit harder here but likely will be on speed and can be hard to catch.
How to play it: Atlantic Ocean E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Atlantic Ocean’s first-up run at Kensington on November 1
Race 6 - 4:55PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1800 METRES) |
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4. State Of America enjoyed a nice run and broke through for a deserved Midway win at Randwick last time out after a few hard luck stories. Similar set up for him from a soft draw, shouldn’t be too far away from the pace again and looks hard to beat.
Dangers: 3. Go Troppo was well placed to score an easy win at Newcastle two runs back, returned to this grade and boxed on okay into fourth at Kensington two weeks ago after leading. Consistent type who has to be considered. 6. Xtrarevz was right in the market in the Midway won by State Of America but a wide gate saw him give away too much start. Again draws out which isn’t ideal but if you can run on he’s well worth including. 7. Buillt won over a mile three runs back then never in the hunt behind Port Lockroy. Better effort last time out in the same race as Go Troppo and is capable of being in the finish.
How to play it: State Of America WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).
State Of America wins at Randwick on November 7
Race 7 - 5:30PM HEADWATER @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1500 METRES) |
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2. Hokkaido might be suited here if the pace is on as it looks it could be. Nice win second-up at Newcastle then good job up in class when running on from last at Rosehill. Will get back and will be hitting the line strongly. Good each-way chance.
Dangers: 11. Yet He Moves looked the winner at Kensington two weeks ago only to be nabbed in the last few strides. Past couple have been at 1800m so comes back in trip here which may be a small query but hard to ignore. 9. Master Copy was runner-up to Hokkaido first-up then even effort at Kensington where he didn’t really hit the line. Barrier one a plus and he’s entitled to another chance. 3. The Little Pumper comes back in class after contesting the Tapp-Craig and Callander-Presnell at his past couple. Wasn’t able to get near the lead there last time so forgive that and it wouldn’t surprise to see him bounce back.
How to play it: Hokkaido E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Hokkaido runs fifth at Rosehill on November 4
All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Rosehill meeting