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Nick Berney's Tips For Rosehill Gardens (Saturday)

By Nick Berney

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Saturday's Rosehill Gardens meeting. Selections based on a good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

Race 1 - 11:15AM MIDWAY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

11. Smart Little Miss has had factors against in both of her runs this campaign but is set to peak here third-up. The mare had too much to do first-up at Warwick Farm from an impossible position over an unsuitable distance and was mathematically out of the race. However, to her credit, she made a long-wide sustained, clocked the meeting's fastest 600m/400m/200m splits, and flashed home for third behind subsequent winner Omni Man. Second up, she was 28 days between runs, got shuffled back throughout transit and got into an awkward position. Further, she wasn't suited on a deteriorating track and had the pace/bias against her, but she tried hard in defeat. Expecting sharp improvement here from a favourable draw, and she finally gets onto a bigger track that suits her profile. Each-way.

Dangers: 3. Diamond Diesel broke through for a well-deserved win in this grade a fortnight ago. The gelding had all favours but accelerated away from his rivals at the top of the straight with the blinkers on for the first time. He is a consistent type and receives a positive race setup. 8. Elettrica is hard to catch, but she should've won last start at Rosehill and was blocked for a run for most of the straight. She undoubtedly has the ability to win and can be in the finish with even luck. 2. Soami was run to suit when winning last start, and although he has a tricky draw in this event, the anticipated fast tempo will give him his chance to run on. Both 13. Tinka's Lad and 10. Sumo Star are honest on-pace types and rock-hard fit.

How to play it: Smart Little Miss E/W ($12 TAB Fixed Odds).


Smart Little Miss last start at Warwick Farm on June 28

Race 2 - 11:50AM RACING FOR GOOD ON JULY 29 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

10. Taormina is a nice type and was an impressive winner on debut at Warwick Farm after being well-backed late in the trade. The Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott galloper showed key attributes when leading at an even tempo and showed a sharp turn of foot to sprint one of the fastest 400m-200m splits of the meeting. Further, she ran a slick overall time, and that race rated highly relative to the day even after adjusting for age, class, track deterioration and additional factors. The filly will have benefited from that race experience and has a positive race setup. Expect an aggressive ride early from her jockey Tim Clark, and she will take some catching.

Dangers: 1. Inhibitions returns, and she has trialled well in preparation for this assignment. The Godolphin galloper hasn't been extended in both heats, and she hit the line in style in a recent outing at Hawkesbury over 1000m. She raced consistently in her first campaign and brings proven Listed/Group form lines. Additionally, she maps to have all favours and will appreciate the dry ground. Market watch 11. Miss Ghent who resumes without an official public trial, but she showed ability last prep and will have come back more mature entering her second campaign. 3. Fukubana started a rock-solid $1.70 favourite in his first start at Eagle Farm and easily won. He faces tougher opposition here but is still learning and can improve again. 4. Missile Defence wasn't suited to the sit/sprint race shape on debut at Randwick but to his credit, he built through his gears and hit the line hard. He will appreciate the rise in distance and the anticipated genuine tempo.

How to play it: Taormina WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).


Taormina wins on debut at Warwick Farm on June 28

Race 3 - 12:25PM TAB HIGHWAY PLATE (1500 METRES)

7. Burrandana has been luckless this preparation, but all key indicators suggest he can only improve again, and he sets up well here. The gelding had too much to do first-up from a wide gate and was forced into the inferior ground but to his credit, he built through his gears and went through the line full of energy. He then was blocked for a run for most of the straight last start at Randwick, but once clear, he savaged the line and clocked one of the fastest final 200m splits of the meeting, albeit just missing in a tight finish to run second. The Peter Morgan trained galloper has an improvers action, and with his platform, the rise to 1500m third-up is ideal. In addition, he has a class edge over some of his key rivals coming through the Country Championship series, where he started hard in the market in two of those heats.

Dangers: 1. Eaglemont brings superior form lines and has a positive race setup here. The gelding wasn't suited to the sit/sprint race shape last start at Doomben, but he kept trying to the line to finish second. He receives a significant barrier change allowing him to settle closer, and he gets in well at the weights under the race conditions. 11. Chase My Crown has been a consistent Highway performer all campaign and finally got a deserved win last start. She was run to suit but still did it and draws well here. 10. Competition is a knockout chance who relishes dry ground and accelerated impressively to win last start at Scone. 8. Barradas has been scratched recently due to wide draws, but he maps well in this assignment. He has to step to 1500m for the first time off a break but is racing well.

How to play it: Burrandana WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds).


Burrandana runs second last start at Randwick on July 8

Race 4 - 1:00PM KIA ORA PRAGUE HANDICAP (2400 METRES)

4. Wahine Toa has come back improved this preparation and drops sharply in grade here. The six-year-old was run to suit first-up at Flemington but hit the line hard to finish a narrow second. Second-up, her run had merit where she was given no peace throughout and always faced the breeze at a fast tempo. Further, she got left in front a long way from home, but to her credit, she kept trying to the line whilst the other on-pace runners faded. The mare is coming out of two high-pressure races, has a strong platform to peak, and won third-up last campaign. She maps to have an economical run throughout transit, and senior rider Jason Collett rides for the first time.

Dangers: 1. Manbehindthemoney has been well found in early markets, but the gelding is on an upwards ratings spiral. He showed the key attribute of adaptability to lead and accelerate away from his rivals to score in a similar grade at Randwick last start. The step to 2400m should pose no issue, and if he repeats his previous performance/figure expect him to be fighting out the finish. 3. So United always faced the breeze last start at this track/distance and was honest in defeat. He will roll forward and take some catching with apprentice Amy McLucas claiming 3kg. 6. Union Gap wasn't suited to the race shape last start but has had a tick-over trial between runs and draws favourably. has a trickier setup in this race but is now at optimal fitness.

How to play it: Wahine Toa WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds).


Wahine Toa runs second at Randwick on June 24

Race 5 - 1:35PM FURPHY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

2. Brudenell is an improving type coming out of time/sectional merit races this prep. The three-year-old overcame a wide draw to score first-up at this track and then was brave in defeat last start running second behind Insurrection. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day, and the margins throughout confirmed the quality. The Kris Lees galloper has a fantastic record and profiles well for this event. He maps to control the pace with superb front-running rider Tim Clark aboard, and he may get the track pattern to suit with the rail out seven metres. Moreover, he can step off his last-start performance and expect him to be hard to run down.

Dangers: Expecting sharp improvement from 12. O'Tycoon who can settle much closer with a significant barrier change and the anticipated moderate tempo suits. He got too far back last start at Canterbury but reeled off the meeting's quickest 200m sectional, and he drops 5kg off that run, enhancing his key asset of acceleration. 8. Wategos comes through the same race as Brudenell and was honest in defeat, running fourth. He will be fitter for that, the rise in distance suits and although up 3kg in weight a senior rider goes on. 7. Givara had to make a long-wide sustained run to score last start, and although drawn tricky, he can settle in his usual race position and storm home late. 4. Huon and 3. So Good So Cool were both sectional stars last start and are fit.

How to play it: Brudenell WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).


Brudenell runs second at Randwick on July 8

Race 6 - 2:10PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Hard to go past 2. Waverider Buoy who overcame difficulties last start at this track, and she showed determination to score. The filly was blocked for a run at a critical stage, but once a gap appeared, she sprinted through it and savaged the line to win in the last stride. Moreover, she ran slick overall time and produced a career peak figure. She has a much trickier setup in this event, but she has improved and brings superior form lines relative to her rivals, including an honest effort in Group company last campaign. The Chris Waller trained galloper will need luck with the rail out seven metres, but repeating her previous performance/figure will make her hard to hold out.

Dangers: 12. Principessa bounced back into the winner's stall after a strong win last start at Kensington, and it may be a confidence-building performance. She surged to the line with an improvers action and clocked one of the meeting's fastest final 200m sectionals. The consistent mare will be smothered away and look to have the last shot. Expecting improvement from 8. Tashi who had too much to do second-up at Warwick Farm after being 32 days between runs. She had to make a long-wide sustained, peaked late, and that will now bring her to optimal fitness. 6. Acappella Sun had the track pattern against at Randwick a fortnight ago but raced well to finish second. 9. Petulant and 1. Miss Jay Fox will have on-pace favours.

How to play it: Waverider Buoy WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds).


Waverider Buoy wins last start at Rosehill on July 1

Race 7 - 2:45PM TAB HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

2. Chorlton Lane was impressive, winning in his Australian debut, and was heavily backed throughout the week. The lightly raced galloper settled at the rear of the field in a very slow tempo, but he overcame that race shape with a sharp turn of foot and showed his true potential. Further, he sprinted the second-fastest final 600m split of the meeting and went through the line full of energy. All key indicators suggest he can only improve off that effort, and his ratings/sectional profile supports this. The Ciaron Maher & David Eustace runner excels on dry ground, will relish the rise in distance, and he looks above Benchmark 72 grade. Hard to beat with even luck.

Dangers: He is hard to catch 4. Noble Conqueror, but nothing went right for him first-up at Randwick a fortnight ago. He missed the start, wasn't suited by the pace of the race, was held up for most of the straight and should've gone close to winning. He needs to improve his barrier manners but undoubtedly can be in the finish. 5. Armor Victorious comes through the same race as Chorlton Lane, and his return was solid. The three-year-old was outpaced when the sprint went on, but once he balanced up, he found the line well and will strip fitter for that effort. 13. Howgoodareyou won easily on debut at Hawkesbury but jumps sharply in grade here. She drops to 52kg and can give a sight. 1. Token Capitalist had all favours when winning last start but is rock hard fit.

How to play it: Chorlton Lane WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds).


Chorlton Lane wins at Rosehill on July 1

Race 8 - 3:25PM TOYOTA FORKLIFTS WINTER CHALLENGE (1500 METRES)

Trainer Chris Waller has won seven out of the past 12 runnings of this race and one of his leading chances 5. Longvillers profiles well for this event. The five-year-old resumed as a gelding in the Civic Stakes (1400m), and although well beaten, his starting price must be respected. Second-up, he had no luck whatsoever in Winter Stakes (1400m) and should've finished much closer. He has a strong platform, is ready to improve third-up, and returns to his home track, where he produced his peak Australian figure. The rise to 1500m is ideal, and the anticipated genuine tempo will suit. Each-way.

Dangers: 2. Sibaaq, who returns, has trialled well enough, and his past two first-up runs have had merit. Further, when resuming last prep, he was slightly outpaced up-tempo, but once he balanced up and built momentum, he hit the line hard to finish fourth behind subsequent Group 1 winner Think About It. He is a key late-market watch. 12. Barbie's Fox should've won the Winter Stakes (1400m) after reeling off the race's quickest 600m-200m split but then was blocked for a run over the final furlong. 10. Resonator is rock-hard fit, drops 4kg in weight, and a senior rider in Tim Clark goes on. 15. Semana is coming off a career peak performance where she smashed the clock and is a consistent type. The 21 days between runs is of little concern as that is her usual pattern. Add 4. Bonny Ezra who has a tricky draw but will be hitting the line hard.

How to play it: Longvillers E/W ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds).


Longvillers last start at Randwick on July 8

Race 9 - 4:05PM SCHWEPPES JULY SPRINT (1100 METRES)

Leaning towards 12. Forzanini, who represents value, and she receives a much more positive race setup here. The mare was flushed out too early first-up but tried hard in defeat and then didn't appreciate sitting outside the leader with 60.5kg last start in a genuine tempo when 28 days between runs. The Peter & Paul Snowden galloper gets multiple factors in her favour, allowing her to produce her best. Further, she can be ridden with cover to stalk the pace, and she drops 8.5kg, which will enhance her key asset in acceleration. In addition, her two career peak figures have come at this track/distance that lines up well against her opposition, and she fits the Rosehill 1100m profile. Good each-way.

Dangers: 8. Omni Man deserves early favouritism after a dominant win seven days ago, and he has gone to a new level this prep. He brings the clear best last start figure, and although drawn tricky, his natural early speed can offset that. Expect him to be hard to run down. 7. Sweet Ride returned after 259 days off the scene at Caulfield and raced well against the race shape. Some query second-up off a long break, but he has strong form lines around Group 1 winner In Secret from last campaign. 1. Zethus is fit and consistent.

How to play it: Forzanini E/W ($17 TAB Fixed Odds).


Forzanini last start at Randwick on July 8

Race 10 - 4:40PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

4. Kalino goes on top with Semana getting a run in the Winter Challenge (1500m) earlier in the day. The four-year-old has trialled well and wasn't extended in his latest heat at Randwick in a fast time heat relative to the morning. He is a proven fresh performer, and his peak figure came first-up last campaign when he sprinted hard fresh. He is proven in this grade, started respectable prices in Group 3 company last prep and maps to have all favours.

Dangers: 12. He's Our Bonneval gets key factors in his favour with a significant barrier change and receives visors for the first time. He will need luck with his racing pattern but has the closing speed to run over the top of his rivals. 11. Wollombi is an improving type but resumes here with a tricky draw. She will more than likely benefit from the run but has the class to be in the finish. 1. Much Much Better will be fitter and is an honest on-pace runner. 6. Glint Of Silver went to a new level last prep and has trialled up well. He is a key late-market watch.

How to play it: Kalino WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds).


Kalino runs second in a trial at Randwick on July 14

Best Bet: Race 7 # 2 - Chorlton Lane

Next Best: Race 5 # 2 - Brudenell

Best Value: Race 8 # 5 - Longvillers

All the fields, form and replays for Saturday's Rosehill Gardens meeting

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