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By Mark Brassel

The Kensington Track is rated a Soft 5 with the rail in the TRUE position. Today's forecast is for a cloudy day with a top of 24 degrees.

The Chris Waller-trained 10. WAIKIKI ($4.60 on TAB) has only raced twice and was placed on this course when making her debut last July. She has trialled on four occasions since and her latest effort was good, showing plenty of speed before being under a throttle hold late to finish a close third. The booking of ‘Magic Man’ Joao Moreira is a bonus.

Dangers: The heavily-backed 2. EMPEROR ($2 favourite) was placed in the Breeders’ Plate at Royal Randwick on debut in October 2021. He was outclassed in the Inglis Millennium there in February but has since won two trials impressively at Ballina. The downside is he’s very short price-wise. 9. TERRA MATER ($8) has finished second in all three runs and should again give a good sight although up in grade.

How to play it: Waikiki straight out
Odds and Evens: Evens

Lightly raced Denman filly 10. MIYOSHI ($5.50) improved sharply when runner-up at Warwick Farm, working home strongly towards the line. She should now be at her peak after four runs from a spell with Kerrin McEvoy doing the steering.

Dangers: 8. CUT ON A DIME ($9) was a tad disappointing at Canberra when an odds-on favourite; that run followed an 8th in the Gr 2-Phar Lap Stakes behind Zougotcha at Rosehill. He did win here in February so it may pay to give him another chance. 1. STORM KING ($4.60) battled on determinedly for 3rd over 1600m at Sandown and is a winner over 2100m so will have no problem with the journey.

How to play it: Stand out quinella 10/8-1
Odds and Evens: Evens

TOSEONTHENOSE ($3.60) was placed at Kembla & Hawkesbury before angling out and finishing hard to score a narrow win at Newcastle. He seems to be improving with each run and has drawn well in gate three. No doubt he’ll be again hitting the line strongly.

Dangers: 12. SHIHAB ($7) battled on courageously to score a first-up win at Hawkesbury after a little easy in the market. Looks suited here and should strip fitter, while the favourite 1. TOKEN CAPITALIST ($3.20 fav), who’ll carry the ANZAC Day colours, has run well in three starts this preparation but is becoming a little costly. If anything is consistent and maybe give him one more chance. 9. FLEUR DU MONDE ($7.50) has won both her only starts at Newcastle and deserves a chance to step up in grade.

How to play it: Toseonthenose to win
Odds and Evens: Evens

In a small but tricky distance event, going with 5. YARRAWONGA ($3.80 fav), the most inexperienced stayer in the field but has more scope for improvement. Led and rallied all the way down the straight when pipped by 4. CASUAL CONNECTION ($4.80) at Warwick Farm. Meets that horse 2kg better and should turn the tables.

Dangers: 1. OUTLANDOS ($9) only beat one runner home here last time out but was starting to warm up late so the additional 600m is right up his alley. 2. DENILIQUIN ($7.50) won well at Hawkesbury & Warwick Farm but was a shade disappointing last start and can improve.

How to play it: Yarrawonga straight out
Odds and Evens: Odds

FALL FOR CINDY ($3.10 fav) should appreciate a sharp drop in grade here. Last start she was 4th in the Group 3-Carbine Club Stakes at Randwick behind The Fortune Teller. Previously she defeated Beautiful Heart at Kembla with the runner-up franking the form by winning next time out.

Dangers: In her best effort for a while, 8. CABACA ($7.50) came from last in a big field when just behind the placegetters at Newcastle. Has solid claims should she repeat that effort. 3. ARALE ($3.40) led throughout to score at Hawkesbury before weakening for 5th at Warwick Farm after setting a blazing pace and can do better here. Topweight 1. AZARMIN ($4.80) improved for 2nd to Pretty Amazing at Hawkesbury with that mare winning in strong company at that course last Saturday.

How to play it: Fall For Cindy the win
Odds and Evens: Evens

It may have taken 8. BUILLT ($7.50) eight starts to break his maiden status but his first-up victory was impressive. He tracked the speed then took a little while to wind up but when he did, he hit the line strongly. That was his first start for four months so expect further improvement here.

Dangers: 4. LA PITTRICE ($5.50) stormed home to score a narrow win at Warwick Farm then put in a strong performance when 4th in the Gr 3-James Carr Stakes at Randwick, finishing on terms with the favourite Magic Time. That’s great form for this. 10. TRAGARA ($9.50) led all the way to win at Kembla and is honest as the day is long and must go in. 6. COSMIC FIELD ($12) won his first two starts before failing in the heavy going at Randwick and will do better here on the drier ground.

How to play it: Box the quinella 8-4-10-6
Odds and Evens: Evens

PLUNDERING ($4.20 fav) won his first two starts in Queensland before 5th at Eagle Farm in October and was then spelled. Lovely Warwick Farm trial to prepare for this, finishing strongly under little riding. Drawn to get a nice smother and should go well fresh.

Dangers: 1. NASTURTIUM ($4.80) is fast and won his first three starts. Not seen since 4th at Moonee Valley in October and subsequently underwent tie-forward surgery. The entire has since trialled nicely at Rosehill. 6. PRINCE INVINCIBLE ($8.50) battled on solidly when runner-up at Warwick Farm and continues to race well, while 5. CURTIS ISLAND ($6) had specking when a winner at Warwick Farm and usually holds his form once he strikes it.

How to play it: Stand-out quinella 11/1-6-5
Odds and Evens: Odds

Irish import 17. MASTER COPY ($8) was highly impressive winning his last two starts at Kembla & Wyong late last year before heading to the paddock. Resuming here and has had the benefit of two barrier trials, although he didn’t set the world on fire in those trials, expect him to show up on raceday with the in-form Nash Rawiller the pilot.

Dangers: 13. INVINCIBLE VISION ($8) has plenty of speed which should offset his wide barrier and will be in it for a long way. Former Kiwi 7. KING OF THE CASTLE ($11) caught the eye when resuming, making solid ground late and is certain to have improved. 18. STROMBUS ($5.50) is a stablemate of the top pick and continues to race well without winning. Narrowly edged out at Warwick Farm and Brenton Avdulla sticks.

How to play it: Box a quinella 17-13-7-18
Odds and Evens: Odds

BEST BETS: R4-5 YARRAWONGA ($3.80 fav), R5-4 FALL FOR CINDY ($3.10 fav)

BEST VALUE: R6-8 BUILLT ($7.50), R8-17 MASTER COPY ($8)

View the final fields with full form & race replays for the Kensington Track here