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Kensington Winners - Tips For Wednesday 1st November

By Ray Hickson

Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Kensington meeting. Selections based on a good track.

Race 1 - 2:00PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE PLATE (1400 METRES)

5. Mogwai is a deserving favourite after doing a great job in defeat first-up behind Keenan here two weeks ago. That horse has since been stakes placed and the way the race was run he couldn’t possibly run the winner down. Fitter for it, extra 100m and soft draw. Has to be the one to beat.

Dangers: 6. Northern Eyes is an interesting runner who started big odds at his debut in July and didn’t fire. Nice recent trials and blinkers go on, JMac to steer he’s a big watch. 8. Until Valhalla had some specking at odds when she debuted at Hawkesbury and flashed home to just miss. Not sure whether she can use gate one based on that first outing but if she can she could go one better. 3. Rockola coms through quite a handy maiden at Newcastle won by There There and he showed improvement into that second start to hold third. Wouldn’t shock if he places again.

How to play it: Mogwai WIN ($1.75 TAB Fixed Odds).


Mogwai runs second at Kensington on October 18

Race 2 - 2:35PM TAB PLATE (1100 METRES)

9. Ragga Ragga looks a sharp filly and if she runs up to her trials there’s every chance she will take some catching. Improved nicely from her first to second trial to put five lengths on her opposition at Warwick Farm on October 9. Drawn well and can give a sight.

Dangers: 5. Tulle is a very well bred mare making a belated debut after a string of trials, the latest of those a pleasing second at Hawkesbury. Not sure where she gets to in the run but has found James McDonald to ride and expect she runs well. 3. Runwiththetide is another returning gelded since his last prep and he was competitive in all four starts including once here back in May. 7. Miss Emma has so far not shown a whole lot but in the small field she could be an improver.

How to play it: Ragga Ragga WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds).


Ragga Ragga wins a Warwick Farm trial on October 9

Race 3 - 3:10PM BIVOUAC FIRST YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

6. Petersham is very short but didn’t have the best of runs when favourite first-up in a similar race two weeks ago after being slowly out. Expect if she jumps well she’ll be right on the speed this time and much harder to beat.

Dangers: 5. Hinchinjive is racing well and comes through the same race as Petersham, also having some hard luck stories to tell in running fourth. Held up for runs when she needed to get going and did a good job to get so close. Must be included. 8. Allapercanto finished strongly to win a maiden at Newcastle then jumped sharply to 1850m and was no match for the winner. Expect coming back in trip will be a plus and she’s worth another chance. 7. Zelta scored a tough maiden win first-up then straight into Listed grade and was outclassed though did draw wide. Capable of improvement back in grade.

How to play it: Petersham WIN ($1.85 TAB Fixed Odds).


Petersham runs fifth at Kensington on October 18

Race 4 - 3:50PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

3. Go Troppo broke a run of outs with a dominant on pace performance at Newcastle a few weeks ago and looks to have plenty of favours here. Placed in a Midway at this trip prior and only has to hold form to be a major player again.

Dangers: 8. Yet He Moves has been around the mark since a maiden win in August and was sent out favourite when placed here last week. Gets a 4kg drop for a modest class rise and is a good chance. 7. The Englishman does a lot of threatening but is almost always around the mark. Just failed as favourite over a mile at Kembla last time and now at peak after two runs back. Has to be considered. 9. Lyrical Gangster ran fifth in the same race as Yet He Moves as a $5 chance and also benefits from a drop in weight. Each-way claims.

How to play it: Go Troppo E/W ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds).


Go Troppo wins at Newcastle on October 10

Race 5 - 4:30PM RANVET HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

8. Gilmore gets in with a nice light weight after the claim and comes off an impressive all the way win under 60.5kg at Hawksbury third-up. Has earned another shot in town and she should be able to make use of the weight and take some catching.

Dangers: 5. Disneck has had a mixed prep so far but was back to something like his best when scoring an off the pace win at Hawkesbury third-up. If he can hold that form he’s a chance to run into the finish. 3. Valiancy failed at Listed level before a spell but all her previous form was solid including a Rosehill placing in May in this class. Wide gate a small concern but this is a winnable race. Keep safe. 1. Delexo looked to trial very well in his first outing then was under some pressure in the second. Didn’t really come up last time in but on his best form he’s effective fresh and at the short trip.

How to play it: Gilmore WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds).


Gilmore wins at Hawkesbury on October 19

Race 6 - 5:10PM CASINO PRINCE @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

7. Eagle Nest was hit and miss last time in but resumed with a strong all the way Gosford win almost a month ago. Up in class here but from gate one has every chance to measure up to it and being on the fresh side looks a plus.

Dangers: 8. Rocketeer Girl showed some promise in her first preparation winning at Canterbury at her second start before a failure there back in June. Trialled up well and should be respected. 10. Divine Vicky wasn’t beaten far at Warwick Farm in the same race as Ballroom Bella after getting back and running on without threatening. More than capable of running over the top if she gets the right passage. 1. Queen Of The Mile is coming through the grades well with two benchmark 64 wins on end. Tricky gate but with any luck could be a player.

How to play it: Eagle Nest WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds).


Eagle Nest wins at Gosford on October 5

Race 7 - 5:50PM VALE ERIC CONLON HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

3. Tavi Time returns from a strong campaign last summer where she won three straight before a narrow defeat at Eagle Farm in March. Nicely drawn and bears very close watching off a long break.

Dangers: 2. Famous Pedrille led all the way to an easy win at Kembla Grange third-up on the back of a sound placing at Rosehill in this class. At peak and if he’s going to win at this grade he’ll have a good chance if he can repeat that effort. 14. Atlantic Ocean has a bit of a job from a tricky gate but he’s racing pretty well without winning of late. Trialled since his close second to Silvanito over this course in September and is worth including in the chances. 15. Master Copy might be looking for a little further but gets a nice weight drop on his fast finishing second at this trip at Hawkesbury.

How to play it: Tavi Time WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).

All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Kensington meeting

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