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By Ray Hickson

Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Friday’s twilight Kensington meeting at Randwick. Selections based on a good track.

1. Belieber beat up a small field when resuming as a gelding at Wyong in what was little more than an extra barrier trial for him. We’ll find something out about where he stands in a pretty handy field here but he looks the leader, will be fitter and has always promised to be above average. Good chance to show it.

Dangers: 3. Tiny was an eye-catcher against the pattern on debut then got the better of Cat D’Oro, who has had a few more shots without winning since, at Canterbury back in August. Trialling well and she was only a length from Viridine in the second of them. While there’s question marks around the form she has gate one and should be competitive. 4. Pyrmont is the knockout chance. He can mix his form but on his day is capable, should have finished closer than the 1.9 lengths at Rosehill last time when he basically didn’t get a shot at them until the 100m. 5. Escape Artist seemed to appreciate getting back on top of the ground when scoring her maiden win at Hawkesbury. Worth including.

How to play it: Belieber WIN ($1.65 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS

Belieber wins at Wyong on November 18

7. Tastebud was a beaten favourite first-up at Gosford but it was quite a solid performance. She wasn’t the best away and had to work early to lead, she slipped away coming to the turn and was only collared in the last couple of strides by a promising Godolphin debutante. Expecting she’ll slide across from the outside and with the run under her belt be harder to catch.

Dangers: 2. Flexible finally makes it to the track after a string of trials going back 12 months. Scored a narrow win in the latest and her only one this time around. Betting will tell us a bit late but she’s well bred and no surprise to see a debut win. 1. Brookspire is another with a number of trials behind her over a bit of time. Could have easily won her Rosehill on November 12 then in a blanket finish 18 days later. Well drawn, respect and again if there’s a wave of support she could be the one. 4. Windsweep was a big drifter on debut in a 900m scamper here and wasn’t beaten far in fourth. Wide gate a minus for her here but it was a promising enough debut to suggest she could find herself in the placings.

How to play it: Tastebud WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Tastebud runs second at Gosford on November 21

1. Exoboom looks to have some talent and while there are things against him here he’s clearly the one to beat. Those thing are the wide alley and the likelihood he’ll go back from the gate in a race that lacks pressure. Hit the line from well back on debut at 1200m and again strong late to win his trial. If he can settle up closer at 1400m fresh they may not beat him. Still could be good enough to run them down.

Dangers: 2. Apollate failed badly on debut on a heavy track and that run can be overlooked. He’s been gelded and the blinkers go on, James McDonald rides from barrier one. Commands plenty of respect. 6. Supreme Leader has found two better in each of his three runs back from a spell, appeared to have every chance in the latest of them at Rosehill a couple of weeks ago. Imagine he goes forward from the outside and can be in the finish, whether he has the eye of the tiger late remains to be seen. 7. Finally Realise is a possible leader and gets the blinkers on after a string of competitive efforts in maidens out of town. Drawn well, in-form jockey and not a strong race. Has to be considered.

How to play it: Exoboom WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Exoboom wins a trial at Randwick on November 24

9. Front Money is only lightly raced and her record might look a lot better if not for three defeats on wet tracks. Struck a good track before a spell and beat a smart filly in Smart Reply and could have won her trial on her ear earlier this week. She’ll be right on the speed from gate one and will take beating.

Dangers: 1. Frozen In Time shrugged off an ordinary first-up effort to win nicely at Hawkesbury back to 1000m almost a month ago. She ran well in a couple of starts on this track earlier in the year and this race is no harder than them. Go well. 5. Sally’s Day was scratched from a winnable race recently to run here in a race that doesn’t look to set up too well for her on face value. That said she overcame a tricky gate to win first-up last prep at Wyong (on a wet track) and was then stakes placed. She’s hit or miss and that’s your risk with her. 10. Kawaikini is a perennial knockout chance in races like this and she’d only have to match her efforts when second to Hulk three back or last time to Najmah to be in the finish somewhere if the race is run to suit.

How to play it: Front Money WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Front Money runs second in a Rosehill trial on November 30

9. Liveinthefastlane is an excellent each-way chance on his very consistent form of late. She can take advantage of a better gate this time compared to last start at Rosehill where she drew seven of seven and settled last before closing in for a nice third. No harder here and is over the odds.

Dangers: 4. Unamerican was flying before failing to beat one home at Canterbury a few weeks back but it was a total forgive run. He sat wide and made midrace moves before dropping right out. Better than that, drawn well so expect him to run well. 3. Nyami was able to just run down 5. Montserrat to win over this course two weeks ago. Worse off at the weights but there may be more pressure on the latter horse this time around. Both have some claims.

How to play it: Liveinthefastlane E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Liveinthefastlane runs third at Rosehill on November 20

7. Our Bellagio Miss has drawn awkwardly but there’s a chance for her to slot in just off the pace and if that’s the case she can go one better second-up. Raced wide when swamped late by Hulk, who ran the day’s fastest last 600m, at Kembla and strips fitter here. Naturally will need that bit of luck but is the horse to beat.

Dangers: 2. Perigord was a nice winner first-up last time in at Canterbury and comes into this race fresh with no public trials. Drawn well and has a great fresh record so be guided by the market for a push. 6. Rover is a huge query. Looked smart winning on debut and was unlucky at his second start then seemed to be a lesser horses when he returned six weeks later. Trials okay but drawn one and if he finds his debut effort he could surprise. 5. Invincible Lad has struck form with placings at his past two and fleetingly looked the winner last time at Warwick Farm before being denied late. Back 100m and is an each-way chance again.

How to play it: Our Bellagio Miss WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Our Bellagio Miss runs second at Kembla Grange on November 21

4. Big Bad Bruce is a very good chance to back up his dominant second-up win at Gosford out to 1400m here. Just don’t want to see him ridden too far back, there’s not a lot of speed and he’s drawn right near one of the on-pacers and dangers so there’s an option there for him. He’s well up to this class and the trip is perfect. Hard to beat.

Dangers: 9. Pitchfork finally put it together with a maiden win then a BM72 at Canterbury on we tracks at the end of last prep. He’s trialled okay and while there are holes in his form from those wins he can roll forward and be on speed here and has the chance to win again. 15. My Blue Jeans has never raced better and wouldn’t put it past him to feature somewhere in the finish again. Huge run at Wyong from a wide gate then close up at Rosehill two weeks ago in this grade. Each-way. 8. Mubariz was placed at this trip when resuming last time in before winning at a mile a few starts later. Can’t get a great guide on him from his two trials but has found James McDonald and drawn a soft gate. Can’t overlook.

How to play it: Big Bad Bruce E/W ($7.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Big Bad Bruce wins at Wyong on November 18

All the fields, form and replays for Friday’s twilight Kensington meeting