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John Schell's Tips For Kensington (Friday)

By John Schell

Selections based on a soft track

Race 1 - 3:20PM RANDWICK MAYOR'S CUP (1300 METRES)

2. Pretty Powerful is a colt on debut and has had four trials with two each side of a break. He won a trial at Warwick Farm before finishing fourth in the latest when not beaten far. He’s drawn ideally here and should be hard to hold out.

Dangers: 11. Occult wasn’t beaten far at Kembla Grange last time out and each of his three starts have been sound. 4. Tasoraay was beaten less than a length at Canterbury last time out and is not out of this. 7. Metaphorically wasn’t beaten far at Canterbury when resuming from a spell and can show up here with a repeat performance.

How to play it: Pretty Powerful WIN.

Race 2 - 4:00PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

5. Sister Daae has had two starts and performed well in each with a fourth and a third either side of a spell. She has had a quiet trial leading into this and should be hard to hold out.

Dangers: 2. Alliri was well in the market when finishing second for the second time from as many starts when last produced at Taree. She has the talent to show up again here. 3. Certain Future is on debut and is primed to run well on the back of some solid trials. 1. Cantarito started at big odds but ran well when finishing second on debut at Kembla Grange and has claims in this based on that effort.

How to play it: Sister Daae WIN.

Race 3 - 4:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

5. Candlewick is a well-bred filly that debuted with an easy win at Wyong. She followed that up with a close-up second at the same track and she only needs to run up to those efforts to be the one to beat here.

Dangers: 3. Joyner raced in the lead and did the job well to score at Canterbury when last produced She should run well again here with a repeat of that. 8. Sting In The Tail resumed with a Hawkesbury win and is not out of this if she can repeat that. 4. Valetudo was first-up from a spell at Canterbury when last produced and she ran well enough when midfield and not beaten too far.

How to play it: Candlewick WIN.

Race 4 - 5:20PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

2. Harry’s Bar has a win and three placings from just the five starts and has the obvious talent to give this a shake if she’s anywhere ner her best.

Dangers: 6. Red Hot Lizzie led and wasn’t beaten far at Canterbury when resuming and looms as a chance again here. 5. Raikkonen led and held on well to score at Canterbury when last produced and has solid claims again in this with a repeat. 3. Manwe hit the line well when resuming with a third at Canterbury behind a couple of handy rivals. This looks within his capabilities.

How to play it: Harry’s Bar WIN.

Race 5 - 6:00PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

7. The Right Rein has been racing in fine form with a win at Bathurst four starts ago being followed by placings at Randwick and Newcastle before a last start Queanbeyan win. He is racing well and can win again.

Dangers: 2. Cheval Savant ran better when second at Canterbury last time out when only just being edged out. He can give cheek again here. 4. Barazin resumed from a spell with a second placing at Wyong and this is not out of his capabilities. 14. Dunaloce has been placed in three of her latest four starts and is not out of this.

How to play it: The Right Rein WIN.

Race 6 - 6:30PM RACING AND SPORTS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

7. Liberty State ran second at Canterbury when first-up. She’s had two wins and as many placings from just the six starts and has the talent to show up again in this.

Dangers: 3. Captain Maverick is an import that raced well in his initial campaign here when scoring on this track in September before running second at Rosehill. He is fresh for this and should sprint well. 1. Gold Bullion is a talented type that is resuming from a spell here. He was first past the post in the Packer Plate in the autumn only to be relegated on protest, then took on strong class in Brisbane in the winter. Expect him to run well first-up in this. 8. Bacio Del Mist was a winner at Canterbury over 1900m in February then ran third at Warwick Farm before being spelled. She’s had two trials to prepare for this return to racing.

How to play it: Liberty State WIN.

Race 7 - 7:00PM TAB HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

11. Edge Of Reward is resuming from a spell here and has had two solid trials leading into this resuming effort. He was just behind the placings in each of his two runs before being spelled and is primed to sprint well fresh here.

Dangers: 2. Jumeirah Beach is talented at best and resumes here on the back of some down the track city efforts. His trials have been good and he has solid claims here. 1. The Replicant has only won three out of 30 but has had a further 18 placings. He’s handy at best and resumes here after two trials. 8. Deceive resumed with a fourth at Canterbury and is not out of his with a repeat of that.

How to play it: Edge Of Reward EACH WAY.

Best Bets:
Race 1 (2) Pretty Powerful.
Race 2 (5) Sister Daae.

Best Value:
Race 7 (11) Edge Of Reward.

All the fields, form and replays for Friday's Kensington meeting

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