By Ray Hickson
There’s no doubt in co-trainer Adrian Bott’s mind that there’s a major win in Dawn Passage and doesn’t mind going into Saturday’s $200,000 Inglis Guineas (1400m) at Rosehill as the underdog knowing he’s the best credentialled three-year-old.
The last start Hawkesbury Guineas winner, who has the scalp of Bivouac from his debut win, has taken on the elite sprinters of his generation all season and Bott says the best is yet to come.
“His placement throughout his career is an indication of the opinion we’ve always had of him,’’ Bott said.
“He’s needed things to go his way and he hasn’t got it at times so his record could read a bit better than it does.
“If he gets a nice firm surface he can run right up to that performance from last start.’’
Dawn Passage sits on the second line of the TAB market at $3, as at Friday morning, with Masked Crusader $1.85 on the back of his easy win against older horses last week.
The Inglis Guineas is an important race for Dawn Passage as Bott hopes to squeeze his way into next month’s Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap (1400m) in Brisbane and to do that a win is paramount to boost his rating.
The colt showed the turn of foot he can produce on a good track as he put the Hawkesbury Guineas away early by running 11.15 between the 400m and 200m (Punter's Intelligence).
“He’s done well since his win, he’s coming off a dominant win in Group 3 company and couldn’t have been more impressive,’’ he said.
“He’s maturing now and strengthening and improving all the time. He’s entered for the Stradbroke and Saturday’s performance will tell us everything as to whether we continue to pursue it.’’
Bott said races in the spring like the Group 1 Epsom Handicap (1600m) and the Golden Eagle are likely targets, especially if he lives up to expectation in his next two starts.
“I could see him stretching to a mile and a handicap is probably more his go at this point,’’ he said.
“It’d be great to land a big race for him, with Aquis involved he’s a commercial horse.’’
While all the focus has been on Dawn Passage, Masked Crusader and John O’Shea’s filly Rocha Clock, front running gelding Bandersnatch has become the forgotten horse of the Guineas.
Trainer Gerald Ryan concedes his charge will need to produce a career best effort to knock that trio over but if leaders get a fair go at Rosehill he expects to give a sight.
Bandersnatch ran fourth as favourite behind Phaistos over 1400m on the Kensington track two weeks ago, that resumption came a week after being scratched at the barriers in his scheduled return when well backed in the Hawkesbury Guineas won by Dawn Passage.
“It was a day when the leaders had no hope,’’ Ryan said of his last start.
“I think he will put himself right on the bunny, that’s the way he races, whether he gets an easy time or not I’d doubt it.
“He’s up against three really good three-year-olds and if he beats them he has to step up.
Dawn Passage wins the Hawkesbury Guineas at Rosehill on April 25
“He’s fitter, he’s better, he’s on his home track, he has a good track underneath him. He’ll run well but I find it hard to see him beating them.’’
Ryan produces speedy filly Villami in the Listed $112,000 Arrowfield Ortensia Stakes (1100m) on the back of a game second in the Hawkesbury Rush over the same course three weeks ago.
Villami goes up 3kg on that performance, where she was claimed on the line by Tactical Advantage, and that tells Ryan the opposition isn’t as strong.
“She bounces quickly, she has the good draw and will find herself on top of the speed if she doesn’t lead,’’ he said.
“She will run well but she is a three-year-old filly with 57kg against older horses.’’
As far as stablemate Albumin is concerned, Ryan said it is 50-50 whether the grey takes his place from his wide alley given there’s another option for him coming up in the next week or two.
All the fields, form and replays for Saturday's Rosehill meeting