By Nick Berney
An in-depth look at every runner in the Group 1 $1 million Chandon GOLDEN ROSE Stakes (1400m) at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday.
1. Daumier (Anthony & Sam Freedman): was $9-$13 late in the trade first-up in the G3 McNeil Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield and sat outside the leader at a fast pace. Further, he was given no peace and dropped out in the straight. The colt has had a tick-over trial between runs at Hawkesbury where he wasn’t extended and worked well to the line.
Summary: Last prep, he won the G1 Blue Diamond (1200m) and was brave in the G1 Golden Slipper (1200m). However, he will need to improve significantly from his first-up run to figure.
2. Best Of Bordeaux (Kacy Fogden): SCRATCHED.
3. Jacquinot (Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr): was a dominant winner first-up in the G3 McNeil Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield, and that race rated highly relative to the day. Moreover, the decisive margins confirmed the quality and the second-placegetter Aft Cabin has since come out and won impressively. He has had a trial between runs and is ready to run well.
Summary: He has come back improved, producing his career peak figure first-up, maps to have all favours and has shown he can sprint off slow/fast tempos. Chance.
4. Sejardan (Gary Portelli): had too much to first up in the Run To The Rose (1200m) after being restrained early from a wide-draw and got too far back. He ran the race’s second fastest final 200m split in 11.61 and gave every indication that the 1400m second-up is ideal.
Summary: Expect him to settle closer from a middle gate, and he’ll be hoping the rain doesn’t arrive.
5. Political Debate (Chris Waller): ran an even race first-up in the Run To The Rose (1200m). The colt will run the trip and did start $5.50 in the Group 1 J J Atkins.
Summary: Tricky map and is more suited over further distance.
6. Promitto (David Atkins): is ticking over well and has a strong platform for this event. The David Atkins trained galloper has improved significantly between runs in condition, and the step up to 1400m is ideal. The colt’s most impressive performance came on a heavy track, and the prospect of rain will only enhance his chances.
Summary: His sectional profile suggests he is ready to run a peak figure and if he can jump cleanly away, expect him to settle closer. Over the odds and a knockout chance.
7. Golden Mile (James Cummings): was outstanding in defeat when resuming in the San Domenico Stakes (1300m) when running second to Kibou, and he beat the rest easily. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day, and he ran some of the fastest final 600m/400m/200m splits of the meeting in 34.22/22.79/11.66. The Godolphin galloper backed up his first-up performance and improved again when saluting in the Group 3 Ming Dynasty (1400m). The colt had every chance, but he could absorb the fast tempo and put his rivals away with ease.
Summary: He is proven at this track/distance and excels in high-pressure races with the anticipated genuine tempo suiting. In addition, he will benefit from the recent race experience, and brings a progressive profile. Major player.
8. Brosnan (Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou): was even first-up after only one trial leading into the Group 3 Ming Dynasty (1400m).
Summary: He will be fitter and can be ridden forward from the wide-draw.
9. Sebonack (M W & J Hawkes) Nothing has gone right for Sebonack this prep where he had the bias against first-up and then was checked/blocked for most of the straight last start.
Summary: Happy to forget Sebonack’s two runs this prep but believe he is more suited on a dry surface.
10. Basquiat (Chris Waller): has been solid in both runs this prep. Further, he received the blinkers for the first time in his latest run in Group 3 Ming Dynasty (1400m) and stuck on well for third after chasing a fast tempo.
Summary: He is reaching peak fitness, will roll forward and must go in wider exotics.
11. Fast Witness (Ciaron Maher & David Eustace): has a progressive profile and is a consistent type. The colt got too far back last start in an even tempo at Flemington but ran on well into second place. However, some query on the form/margins of that race.
Summary: Hard to knock, and he can be ridden positively, but this is a rise in class.
12. Millane (Peter Moody): raced wide throughout at Moonee Valley last start and battled on well. Before that, he ran on well after being unsuited in a farcical tempo.
Summary: He receives a significant barrier change and maps to have all favours. However, he meets a much tougher opposition here.
13. Zou Tiger (John O’Shea): started as the $3.30 favourite in the Group 3 Ming Dynasty (1400m) but didn’t cope with the high-pressure event. However, the John O’Shea trained galloper’s starting price profile must be respected, and he is proven on rain-affected ground.
Summary: The scratching of Best Of Bordeaux enhances his chances, where he can roll forward and look to control the pace. Moreover, the market intelligence from his last start is key and must be added in wider exotics.
14. Fireburn (Gary Portelli): was honest first-up after getting too far back first-up in the Run To The Rose (1200m), and she ran on well. She ran the race’s fastest 600m-200m split in 22.14 and maintained a solid finishing speed to the line. The filly was outstanding last campaign and has the peak rating out of all runners engaged.
Summary: The dual Group 1 winner undoubtedly has a win in her this prep and would be pressing for the top pick if it wasn’t for the draw. Further, the prospect of rain is ideal and she is a major player who will be savaging the line.
15. She’s Extreme (Anthony Cummings): has a real X-factor about her, and she had too much to do first-up in the Group 2 Furious Stakes (1200m) after having the pace/bias against her. Additionally, she was fancied late in the trade $5-$3.8 and loomed to win after sprinting the race’s quickest 400m-200m split in 11.87 but peaked on her run.
Summary: The filly will improve significantly second-up, maps to have all favours and can rate to win.
16. In Secret (James Cummings): was impressive, winning the Run To The Rose (1200m) last start, and she did it in style after being crunched $4-3.20 late in the trade. Further, her visual brilliance was supported by the clock running fast overall time and she showed late strength clocking the fastest last 200m split of the meeting in 11.23.
Summary: The Godolphin galloper is a well-educated filly on an upwards ratings spiral and has key attributes. In addition, she profiles well for this event with a favourable map, James McDonald rides, and she brings the best last-start figure. Deserved favourite and hard to beat with even luck.
17. Paris Dior (Peter & Paul Snowden): started the $3.20 favourite first-up in the Group 2 Furious Stakes (1200m) and tried hard in the extremely testing conditions. The Snowden trained runner can bounce back, and if she can reproduce her Percy Sykes (1200m) effort, she can figure.
Summary: Expecting her to be ridden aggressively early, and she has the ability. Knockout chance.
Overall analysis: In Secret has key attributes, profiles well for this race and deserves her favouritism. Promitto is a knockout chance with a strong platform and is ready to peak third-up. Fireburn must be respected, and Golden Mile will be savaging the line late.
Selections:
16. IN SECRET
6. Promitto
14. Fireburn
7. Golden Mile
Check out the fields, form and replays for Golden Rose Day at Rosehill Gardens