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Brad Gray's Tips For Rosehill Gardens (Saturday)

By Brad Gray

Race 1 - 11:00AM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

3. Tutta La Vita looks well set up to atone for two weeks ago where she was nosed out by stablemate Congregation as an odds on favourite. The daughter of The Autumn Sun was held up momentarily in the straight which proved costly. There is a case to be made that she still had her chance having levelled up to the eventual winner but like that there was three lengths back to third. She should relish getting out to 1400m now. That last start performance was on the back of an eye-catching second on debut behind Zoukerette, who has depth to her form lines. Suspect that had Tutta La Vita won a fortnight ago she would already be in the paddock with one eye on the spring features for three-year-old fillies. Should justify the short quote this time and go one better.

Dangers: 7. Gelatin looks a work in progress looking at his trials and debut at Warwick Farm but he looks to be a colt with a future. He should take plenty of benefit from his debut run where a wide draw dictated that he settled a long way back. He jumped as well as anything in the race. The son of Snitzel profiles like a big improver. 5. Mogwai was a beaten even money favourite at Newcastle last Saturday where he looked to have his chance. He was beaten by a more seasoned three-year-old. Fitter for that and comes back to his own age. 1. Flying Trapeze mightn’t have the upside of a few of his rivals but he has the runs on the board coming off a narrow second to Azula at Eagle Farm last start at Listed level.

How To Play It: Tutta La Vita WIN

Race 2 - 11:35AM MIDWAY HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

11. Ripped charged to the line over 1400m first up from the tail of the field. The six-year-old took a few runs to find his best form last campaign, having formerly raced in New Zealand. That netted him a Midway win at Randwick back in January where he beat Crafty Eagle and Dr Evil. Two great measuring sticks for Midway form. The gelding’s pattern can make him hard to catch with the three wins from 23 starts but if he can build off what he did fresh, he won’t be easy to hold out. Jason Collett knows him well too, having ridden him in six of his seven starts in Sydney. There doesn’t look to be a lot of pressure on paper but you’d expect a capacity field to generate enough pace for him to get his chance.

Dangers: 19. Deep Opinions was just as impressive on the clock as she was to the eye last start at Newcastle. Making the win even better was that the race wasn’t run to suit her, having settled in the second half of the field. The query is jumping from 1250m to 1500m. 1. Dr Evil has proven himself more than a wet tracker most recently. He defied his big priced to run third at Randwick three weeks ago over 1300m behind Phearson. He continues to race as well as ever. 2. Gracias Amigo dropped back in grade at Warwick Farm last start and attacked the line to beat Dream Hour. The gate looks tricky on Saturday but like the depth of his form lines.

How To Play It: Ripped WIN

Race 3 - 12:10PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

2. Unravel has won three of his four career starts with the loss a defeat at Rosehill behind Operative and Tashi. The three-year-old was brave at Newcastle first up, having to cart the rest of the field up to the leader before holding off the two challengers that came at him late. One of those rivals was Barradas, who gives us a line having run well in Highway Handicap company in the past. His fresh win was as an even money favourite too. Aaron Bullock has ridden the son of Snitzel, trained by Paul Messara, in all three of his wins and comes to town to maintain his association with the gelding. The cherry on top regarding Unravel’s chance on Saturday is the soft draw. He should land in a perfect trailing position.

Dangers: 3. Acappella Sun should have won a Highway Handicap here two weeks ago when a luckless third behind Proverbial. She didn’t see daylight until it was too late. Prior to that she ran well behind Sister Moon. Only has to hold her form to get herself into the finish again. Barrier 1 could be tricky given her pattern. Keen to see where 7. Goomeri fits in. Welcome back to the Highways Matt Dunn. 7. Goomeri has been brilliant in his two wins. Gives away race experience and the map looks awkward. Nash Rawiller is the right jockey for the job though. 6. Our Boy Ollie comes through the Proverbial form reference and profiles as the sharp improver given he was entitled to knock up having covered ground. 4. Zaru and 10. Vilified have knockout claims.

How To Play It: Unravel WIN

Race 4 - 12:45PM RACING FOR GOOD ON JULY 29 HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

2. Manbehindthemoney has been terrific in his three Australian runs and even so, the form guide still doesn’t do him justice. His first run was on the heavy track at Rosehill where he stuck on stoutly to not be beaten far. He was then a good thing beaten at Doomben having been pocketed in the straight. That was before overcoming a wide gate and 60kg to win at Canterbury. He was forced to loop the field to run down the flying Queenmaker. You don’t see too many horses make that run over the 1900m at Canterbury to win. The margin reads half a length but it was a big win. The little knock on Saturday is coming back to 1800m as opposed to getting out to 2000m but the import is a stayer going places and worth following through the grades.

Dangers: 3. Adjourn won a Class 1 at Gosford last start but he simply proved a class above. Didn’t like how he wanted to lay in under pressure in the straight but loved how he ripped clear late. He looks well set up out to 1800m on a bigger track. No knock on improving three-year-old 5. Grebeni chasing three straight but this is harder again. Kerrin McEvoy rode the perfect race on the Ocean Park gelding two weeks ago and will need another peach from a similar gate. 10. Tradition has claims. 4. Touristic had his chance to do more last start.

How To Play It: Manbehindthemoney WIN

Race 5 - 1:20PM TAB HANDICAP (2000 METRES)

7. Fawkner Park looks destined to race through the grades. The import stepped out for the first time in Australia at Kembla Grange and won from an impossible position, having settled at the tail of the field. The four-year-old then justified being sent around a $1.55 chance at Doomben in Class 3 company. He travelled sweetly to the turn before putting his rivals away in a couple of strides, running right through the line. That was despite the jockey posing for the photo late. This is harder again, and by far his biggest test so far, but the son of Zoffany has an impressive change up of gears and is only five starts into his career. There is still more to come. Imagine he settles down just worse than midfield before Chad Schofield lets him rip.

Dangers: Would’ve loved to have seen 1. Naval College tackle 2400m now fourth up but like his stablemate Fawkner Park, his best is still very much in front of him. He put the flying Queenmaker to the sword two starts ago before holding off 5. Miracle Spin last start at Randwick out to 2000m. Doesn’t look to have the turn of foot of Fawkner Park but his tactical speed should see him offset the wide gate with a positive ride. Miracle Spin gets a 2kg weight swing on Naval College and has trialled well since. 2. Tony Be comes back in grade from his last two and is due a change of fortune. 9. Union Gap pairs well with Tim Clark and he’ll take catching, sliding across from the wide draw.

How To Play It: Fawkner Park WIN

Race 6 - 1:55PM BISLEY WORKWEAR HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

1. Brudenell has a wide draw to overcome but there is enough in the early price to tempt that gamble. Dylan Gibbons was aboard the sprinter at Canterbury last campaign where he only had eyes for the front, quickly offsetting another wide gate before running his rivals into the ground. It was a brilliant display of sustained speed. Expecting something similar on Saturday as the Rosehill 1100m isn’t a track and trip where you want to be wide and working. The three-year-old is starting to pay the penalty for his improving record at the weights but he looks better than this company. He started $11 in the Inglis Sprint behind Benedetta and Paris Dior such was the market respect for him. Love the way he has trialled ahead of his return suggesting he can pick his way through the grades over winter.

Dangers: Both of 6. Smashing Eagle’s wins have been first up. That included last campaign, gapping his rivals at Bendigo. He wasn’t able to replicate that in two runs thereafter. Has had a stable change since his last start, from Hawkes to Ryan and Alexiou. No official trial to judge him off. Respect any market confidence. 12. Tintookie draws out with Brudnell. She wasn’t beaten far by him at Canterbury before spelling. 8. Vegas Raider has to improve on what he has shown to date but his trials suggest that he has.

How To Play It: Brudnell WIN

Race 7 - 2:30PM TOYOTA FORKLIFTS W J MCKELL CUP (2000 METRES)

12. Zoumon has raced well first up in his past two preparations before winning well second up. The four-year-old looks set up to replicate that this time in too. He missed narrowly first up two weeks ago with a race fit Mach Schnell, who Zoumon also gave 3kg, getting the verdict right on the line. Tim Clark jumps back aboard Zoumon on Saturday. Like the wide draw too as it allows Clark plenty of time to cruise across as he likes to eventually find the front. It’s from that controlling position that Zoumon has done his best racing from. The scratching of Mach Schnell helps him too, map-wise. The son of Zoustar was addicted to first up, being forced to hand up. Takes on a better grade of race second up but that sees him carry just 53kg and he is already a winner over the track and trip.

Dangers: 2. Bois D’Argent prevailed in a busy finish in the Lord Mayors Cup four weeks ago. Has been kept fresh since then. 4. Benaud may have forgotten how to win, now 91 weeks between wins, but this is very winnable if he happened to rediscover his best form. 10. Bold Mac wasn’t far behind Zoumon last start and he tends to save his best form for his home track. Has a sense of timing about him fourth up out to 2000m.

How To Play It: Zoumon WIN

Race 8 - 3:05PM FUJITSU AIRSTAGE HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

Big watch on 9. Mascaret. The French import has already had her price significantly trimmed since markets went up on Wednesday afternoon. She too brings Group and Listed form into this where she started in the market. No official trials in New South Wales, she instead has jumped out at Flemington. It was hard to get any guide on those hitouts.

Dangers: 3. Mirra View added to her impressive second up record at Randwick three weeks ago. Only has to hold her form to be in the finish again and she maps to get the run of the race again. 4. Vienna Princess isn’t helped by coming back to 1300m when making the case for her to turn the tables on Mirra View. 11. Zorocat looks the best blowout hope. Catch me if you can.

How To Play It: Mascaret WIN

Race 9 - 3:45PM FURPHY HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

4. Space Tracker loomed to win at his first run in Australia before his condition looked to blow out the last 100m. He held down a narrow third in what looks the strongest form reference coming into this, behind Resonator., and did parade with improvement. The four-year-old import started hard in the market there, having been well supported throughout betting. The gelding had impressed in his trial prior to running first up, displaying the necessary speed that’d see him hit the ground running. Space Tracker goes up slightly in grade but this doesn’t look any harder than last start and he drops 2.5kg with Jett Stanley retaining the ride. With only seven starts to his name, he too looks destined to work through the grades for Annabel Neasham. Was with him first up and want to stick with him second up.

Dangers: The ride won the race for 1. Robusto last start with the winning move going straight to the front. He got complete control thereafter. He was jumping 1200m to 1500m third up so should improve again off that. 2. Attractable hasn’t been beaten far in his past two starts, in better company than this. Another win in close.

How To Play It: Space Tracker WIN

Race 10 - 4:25PM RANVET HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

Luck has deserted 6. Gracilistyla at his last two starts. It doesn’t require much imagination to conclude that he should have won at Warwick Farm before spelling before suffering the same fate at Rosehill first up behind Resonator. A Space Tracker win earlier in the meeting would confirm the form further. The four-year-old grey was climbing all over the backs of the placegetters two weeks ago. Like the gap back to fourth and the race rated well comparative to the meeting. Want to trust that form line. Wouldn’t think that coming back slightly in trip from 1400m to 1300m will bring about his undoing. Maps well, this is winnable and looks to have returned as well as ever. In his last two second up runs he has bumped into Waterford and Think About It.

Dangers: 12. Cosmic Minerva has done little wrong in his career to date and have indications last campaign that he was ready to transition into becoming a genuine Saturday class horse. Has looked sharp in two trial wins ahead of his return. 2. Garrison raised a second effort through the line last start to be narrowly beaten by Devil’s Throat. Out to 1300m, third up and with Nash Rawiller engaged is an appealing set up for the front-running six-year-old. 10. Soami brings Midway form and hasn’t won for 96 weeks but he is racing better than the form guide suggests and finally draws a gate.

How To Play It: Gracilistyla WIN

All the fields, form and replays for Saturday's Rosehill meeting

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