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Brad Gray's Tips For Rosehill Gardens (Saturday)

By Brad Gray

Race 1 - 11:00AM TAB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

8. Tutta La Vita chased home Zoukerette at Canterbury on debut, flagging herself as a filly with plenty of potential going forward. The daughter of The Autumn Sun was never going to be suited around Canterbury over 1100m but there she was working home strongly into second. The track was more testing than the track rating suggested that meeting, but she clocked the fastest last 600m split of the seven races. That sets her up nicely for 1300m at start two getting onto the bigger Rosehill track. Without a lot of pressure on paper, here’s hoping that Dylan Gibbons can be more prominent from the inside draw. The Queensland winter has obviously come around too quickly for this talented filly but if she was to win on Saturday, look out as a three-year-old as she gets out over the mile.

Dangers: 7. Stand Aside hit a flat spot on debut at Warwick Farm but kept finding the line to hold down third. He was one of the first to come under pressure. That sees him well suited out to 1300m too, as does the prospect of finding the front and being allowed to click through his gears from on top of the speed. 1. Congregation’s Canterbury win on debut was better than the narrow margin suggests. He was still very new but knuckled down to get the verdict on the line, the perfect start for the $2.2m yearling. He can only improve. No More Lies had excuses on Wednesday so we didn’t get a guide on the depth of that form line.

How To Play It: Tutta La Vita WIN

Race 2 - 11:35AM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

11. Sussu also maps to get his chance, stalking the speed. The last time we saw him at the races he won a Highway over this same track and trip. He was given the run of the race but faces a similar scenario on Saturday.

Dangers: 10. Maximum Vortex completely untapped. He has been sent straight to the front in his two starts and scored two dominant wins. Four subsequent winners have come through the latest race he won. This is no easy task for 1. Comonic with 63kg and plenty of speed drawn underneath him but he’s the class runner. 2. Blow Dart and 5. Proverbial are both proven in this company.

How To Play It: Sussu WIN

Race 3 - 12:10PM MIDWAY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

2. Awesome Lad got to the line nicely first up after being ridden conservatively in the early stages. That was behind handy import Imrahor. Awesome Lad started hard in the market. The six-year-old typically finds himself right on top of the speed so now he has had the run under his belt, expecting him to be more prominent in the run. The gelding has found his level now with 26 starts to his name but the hallmark of his career to date is how genuine he is. He has finished top three on 15 occasions. What you see is what you get. He is yet to win at Rosehill but the last time he raced at the track he ran a narrow second in the Four Pillars having settled outside of the leader.

Dangers: 3. Poseidon Ruler isn’t having much luck with barriers at the moment. He was 1500m back to 1200m last Saturday at Randwick, rattling home to run fifth behind Crafty Eagle, one of the more impressive recent Midway winners. He is flying but will need a few things to fall into place from back in the field. 7. Victory Lane produced an eye-catching fifth behind Devil’s Throat two weeks ago over 1200m. That was much better than his Kembla Grange run prior. 8. Uzziah didn’t get a lot of room when he needed it behind 9. Sweet Mercy last start. He can turn the tables. 10. Denetta and 1. Kyeema also come through that race.

How To Play It: Awesome Lad WIN

Race 4 - 12:45PM PETALUMA HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

1. Space Tracker is yet another import that has joined the Annabel Neasham stable. Significantly, Neasham has the proven track record of getting them to hit the ground running. This four-year-old has won three of his six starts over 1400m and the mile. He has speed. Space Tracker has shown that in his two Australian trials. In the first of those he was given an easy time but like how he cruised through the line alongside Vienna Princess who ran a big race herself first up. In his second trial Space Tracker was made to hold a more prominent position, settling in behind the speed, before showing a nice turn of foot to win the heat with a big gap back to third. Looks well placed fresh over 1400m from the soft draw. Respect any further market confidence.

Dangers: 10. Hell Hath No Fury is also new to the Neasham yard having formerly been trained in Victoria. The filly didn’t get a lot of room at Flemington first up so ignore that she ran seventh. Her two length defeat to Razeta last campaign stacks up well for this. 14. Gracilistyla just missed first up last campaign and there is more intent to be read into the set up this campaign, tackling 1400m and with two trials under his belt. 4. Resonator will roll forward and give a sight while 5. Semana faces a tricky map from the draw. She is flying this time back, however.

How To Play It: Space Tracker WIN

Race 5 - 1:20PM FURPHY HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

1. Grebini easily accounted for subsequent winner Celestial Spirit second up, relishing getting out to the mile. He was ridden with momentum and came with a sweeping run to win at Warwick Farm. The Ocean Park gelding looks even better suited out to 1800m now with the Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou stable believing that he has the makings of a handy stayer. It’s going to take a similar ride on Saturday given where he has drawn. Kerrin McEvoy is the jockey tasked with finding the right horse to follow into the straight, getting on his bike at the right time. The writing was on the wall first up with Grebini’s second to Estilete that he’d improved again this time back. This looks a lovely third up assignment.

Dangers: 3. Celestial Spirit had been building towards a win and got her dues last start at Canterbury. The way she was going away from her rivals on the line suggests she’ll run out a strong 1800m. 10. Flic En Flac has only won by narrow margins at her first two starts, at Bathurst and then Canberra, but this doesn’t look a deep race for her to transition into the city. Looks to want every bit of the 1800m now. 6. Okataina is a last start Kembla Grange winner and can spear forward to make his own luck.

How To Play It: Grebini WIN

Race 6 - 1:55PM BOWERMANS WINTER CUP (2400 METRES)

The best win of 5. Herman Hesse’s career came over the Rosehill 2400m, making a mess of his rivals with 61kg on his back. That saw him jump a $3.50 chance in the G3 Colin Stephen Quality thereafter and he was unlucky in defeat. The six-year-old was terrific two starts ago in the Mornington Cup running third behind Right You Are and Hezashocka. There was four lengths back to fourth. He didn’t back that up in the Andrew Ramsden Stakes last start but he ran to market expectations there as a $41 chance. He’s beautifully set up in this race, getting in with 54kg on his back. He brings an alternative form to the Lord Mayors Cup where you can make a case for several runners.

Dangers: 2. Spirit Ridge looks the pick of them from the Lord Mayors Cup given he was giving away a fitness advantage to his rivals being 10 weeks between runs. He didn’t get a lot of room in the straight either. 1. Desert Icon finished alongside Spirit Ridge. It was the run of a stayer desperate for 2400m now. Interesting that at start 30 as a seven-year-old he gets the blinkers on for the first time. 4. The Mediterranean was 80 weeks between runs when a fading 10th in the Lord Mayors Cup. Forgive him that. Has Group One form when trained in the UK. Inclined to keep 7. Shameless Miss safe. 9. Al Aabir has claims but looks well found. Should have won last start.

How To Play It: Herman Hesse WIN

Race 7 - 2:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Expecting 2. Kipsbay to bounce back with the set up on Saturday. The four-year-old has had genuine excuses for underperforming at his past two starts but respect that he started $2.40 and $2.80. Two starts ago a slow getaway brought him undone running fifth behind Antino, who has won twice since. Kipsbay then didn’t handle the testing heavy track at Rosehill when fading out of the finish late having led. A soft track is okay for him but that’s now two failures on heavy ground. Conscript has franked that form line since. Trainer Nathan Doyle has given his sprinter five weeks to freshen up and comes back in grade. If Kipsbay runs up to his best, he wins and there is enough in the early price to take the gamble that he can.

Dangers: 3. Devil’s Throat got his timing spot on over this same track and trip first up to run down a talented Kiwi in Wewillrock. A repeat of that sees him hard to beat, as the market suggests. 11. Contemporary ran a luckless third at Randwick in a similar race to this last Saturday. Another good track suits. 7. Shalailed rates a mention.

How To Play It: Kipsbay WIN

Race 8 - 3:05PM RACING AND SPORTS HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

6. Another One was incredibly brave in the Wagga Cup last start. He was the only on speed survivor with the quinella settling out the back in the run. 2. Wicklow and Kukeracha have already run well since, franking the Wagga Cup form. Forgive his Golden Mile failure prior to that where again he rode a hot speed. It looks a perfect set up for the five-year-old on Saturday. Four weeks between runs to freshen up from a tough effort when left in front a long way from home, coming slightly back in trip to 1800m and he maps to get a perfect trailing run just parking in behind the speed. Danny Beasley sticks having ridden Another One in his past three starts.

Dangers: 10. Bold Mac was exceptional sprinting home into third first up. Perhaps that flattened him second up. He loves Rosehill (4:2-1-1) and can bounce back. Wicklow has no easy task again from the gate but we know the finish he possesses. The 2000m looks right on his limit so back to 1800m is perfect. He’ll need the track to be playing fairly given his pattern and the head start he maps to be giving away. 18. Tony Be didn’t get a lot of room last start behind Cotehele. He has a big win to his name over this track and trip. His first up run was much better than it reads on paper. Looks to have returned well. 3. Brutality would prefer it wetter but he continues to race well, without winning.

How To Play It: Another One WIN

Race 9 - 3:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

5. I’ve Been Tryin’ found himself in front in The Coast at Gosford last start. Not a position he has ever found himself in before. Given the company he was in, he boxed on well at the finish to be beaten two lengths. The four-year-old comes back to BM78 company and was a winner in this grade the start prior, albeit at the midweeks. Has been given four weeks to freshen up from last start and expect him to revert back to his normal racing pattern of balancing up and hitting the line. We’ll have a good line on how the track is playing come this late in the meeting and if it’s no disadvantage to be running on down the middle of the track, he looks hard to hold out. Looks well paired with Dylan Gibbons, taking 1.5kg off.

Dangers: Big watch on French import 1. Royal Robbins. He already has two wins over the mile to his name before stretching out to 2000m. Have liked the way he has trialled. 8. Danish Prince loves Rosehill. The form guide reads ninth over this track and trip two weeks ago but he was only beaten two lengths in a busy finish. The barrier doesn’t do 12. King Of The Castle any favours but his last start win over Phearson reads even better now. 14. Rubusto is well set up third up out to 1400m from a soft gate. 13. Lekvarte will need luck angling off the fence at the right time but we know the finish she possesses on dry ground. 3. Deficit can only improve second up which has him thereabouts.

How To Play It: I’ve Been Tryin’ WIN

Race 10 - 4:20PM KIA ORA FARNAN HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

9. Miss Hellfire got an overdue second win on the board two weeks ago over this same track and trip in this same grade. She justified the confident late support. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained filly carries and extra 2.5kg but she maps to get a similar run and it’s hard to make a case for anything that finished behind her to turn the tables. Despite the tempo only being moderate early she still put a gap on her rivals. The daughter of Hellbent has always possessed the talent and now there is every chance that she can go right on with the job. Reece Jones rode her last start and he sticks. This promises to be more truly run which looks to suit even more. Hard to knock.

Dangers: 3. Sweet Ruby found 1100m too sharp first up, as expected. The four-year-old looks well set up second up out to 1200m. Can use barrier 1 to be more prominent. 2. Authentic Jewel can be a little hit and miss but if she happened to produce her best on Saturday, she’d win this. She was rock solid first up but does have a history of underperforming second up. 5. Winning Verse still remains a query in terms of seeing out a strong 1200m. She had her chance last start given the shape of the race. It doesn’t get any easier for her here. Peaks now third up, however. 4. California Surreal brings the same Miss Hellfire form line. The barrier looks problematic. She’ll need a hectic tempo up front to get home over the top.

How To Play It: Miss Hellfire WIN

All the fields, form and replays for Saturday's Rosehill meeting

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