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By Nick Berney

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Wednesday's Rosehill meeting. Selections based on a soft/good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

10. Canara had too much to do first-up at Warwick Farm seven days ago, but her effort was full of merit. The filly was restrained from a wide draw, getting too far back in the big field, but she made up significant ground in the straight. The clock backed up her visual acceleration and late strength with her sectional profile, suggesting the rise in trip is ideal. She draws tricky again, but she has the ability to overcome the setup on the quick backup and represents value.

Dangers: 14. Behaviour is coming through time/sectional merit races and is ready to peak fourth-up over 1400m. He wasn't suited to the sit/sprint race shape last start at Kensington, but he built momentum and ran one of the meeting's fastest final 200m splits. He races at his home track for the first time and expect a bold showing. 1. California Bay was solid on debut and will improve from the experience. He'll be fitter and maps to have all favours. 5. Monte Veebee drops sharply in grade and 13. Great White Shark will hit the line hard with Joao Moreira to ride.

How to play it: Canara WIN ($7.00 TAB Fixed Odds).

Canara last start at Warwick Farm on September 25

Like 16. Straand Beauty, who resumes from a spell, and he looked sharp in a recent trial at Canterbury. The colt always indicated he would return improved in his second preparation, and his run prior to spelling last campaign was full of merit in a high-rating race behind subsequent Group 3 placegetter Wanaruah. Further, he was caught three-wide out on a limb working at a fast pace, became unbalanced on the turn and tried hard to the line. The three-year-old maps to have an economical run in transit; the drying surface is ideal and he will appreciate the bigger track.

Dangers: 4. French Ruler comes through the same race as Straand Beauty from last campaign and returns from a spell. He has a tricky draw but has the closing speed to run over the top of his rivals. Market watch on 1. Celestial Bling who returns from a lengthy spell after running second to Group 1 winner Manaal. Add 11. Aye Aye Captain and 8. Just Think Twice to wider exotics.

How to play it: Straandy Beauty E/W ($10 TAB Fixed Odds).

Strand Beauty wins a trial at Canterbury on September 24

Import 4. Newfoundland is in his second Australian preparation, and his return run at Canterbury a fortnight ago was solid. The gelding got into an awkward spot before the turn, was checked/blocked when the sprint went on, but to his credit, he picked up well and hit the line hard to finish third. The Waterhouse & Bott galloper will appreciate the rise in trip, and the bigger track will be ideal.
Dangers: 5. Fun Sunday has been racing well/consistently and is coming through a high-pressure event. She can settle closer and is rock-hard fit. 2. Rattle And Hum and 1. King Of Clubs map to control the speed and will take running down with the rail out. 8. Whisker To Whisker is a last-start winner with a positive setup.

How to play it: Newfoundland WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).

Newfoundland runs third at Canterbury on September 18

8. Misterkipchoge arguably should've won a fortnight ago at Canterbury after having no luck. The gelding was run to suit but was checked/blocked for the majority of the straight, and even with that interference, he still sprinted one of the meeting's fastest 400m-200m splits. He is ready to peak third-up over more ground, Nash Rawiller sticks, and he'll be smothered away doing no work from the inside gate.

Dangers: Everything points 4. Jon Bon improving third-up, and he was brave last start after leading at a genuine speed. 2. Captain Maverick was well-backed last start and ran solid time relative to the day. James McDonald sticks, and the 1800m suits again. 7. Seafall and 10. Cristal Clear are both last winners and should be respected.

How to play it: Misterkipchoge WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds).

Misterkipchoge last start at Canterbury on September 18

Nothing went right for 1. Need Some Luck first-up at Canterbury and expecting him to bounce back here. He was heavily backed but got into an awkward spot early, wasn't suited to the race shape and made an early move. The gelding raced wide throughout, exerting energy, but went down fighting and still clocked one of the meeting's fastest final 200m splits. He can improve sharply, and he produced his career peak second-up last prep. Additionally, he has multiple winning figures and maps to have all favours with the winkers going on for the first time.

Dangers: Forget 4. Ravenclaw went around first-up after having no luck, and he has a sharp turn of foot that can put him in the finish. 2. Dazzle Legend resumes and has had two quiet trials. Moreira rides, and he is a key late-market watch. 5. Fury returns as a gelding and 8. Etincelle drops 3kg and will be suited to the clockwise direction.

How to play it: Need Some Luck WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).

Need Some Luck runs second at Canterbury on September 18

Expecting 7. Just Party to peak third-up with a more positive race setup, and he profiles well for this assignment. The colt had excuses last start when running fourth behind Lady Shenandoah at this track/distance in the Group 3 Ming Dynasty (1400m), and he was 28 days between runs. He maps to have all favours, drops in grade, and any improvement on his last start effort will make it hard for him to hold out.

Dangers: 1. True To Form is a consistent type, and he went down fighting last start to finish second to subsequent winner Rock Empire. He'll roll forward, and the claim suits. 11. Wembanyama has trialled well enough, and he maps to be smothered away doing no work. He can sprint fresh and has a strong SP profile. Stablemate 12. Getafix is rock-hard fit and 3. Congregation will appreciate the drop-in class.

How to play it: Just Party WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).

Just Party last start at Rosehill on September 14

7. Extremely Hardys, who is a nice type, resumes from a short spell, and she looked sharp in a recent trial at this track. The filly went through the line full of energy, not extended and is ready to sprint fresh. She was ultra-impressive in her debut run at Canterbury, doing it at both ends, and she smashed the clock even after adjusting for the first use of the track. Further, she recorded the fastest final 600m/400m splits of the meeting and key indicators suggest she can only improve from the experience. The three-year-old runner can make the step-in grade, bringing a dominant last-start figure, and expect a positive ride.

Dangers: Trainer Chris Waller has a strong hand in this event, and lightly raced galloper Mergeila is coming off the back of a stylish win last start. She had every chance but built through her gears well and the rise in trip on a bigger track suits. Pippie Beach is coming through a high-pressure race, which has produced a subsequent winner, and Joao Moreira rides. 6. Hellbent On You will be fitter and can hit the line hard.

How to play it: Extremely Hardys WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).

Extremely Hardys latest trial at Rosehill on September 16

Best Bet: Race 5 # 1 - Need Some Luck

Next Best: Race 4 8 - Misterkipchoge

Best Value: Race 2 # 16 - Straand Beauty

All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday's Rosehill meeting