By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Thursday’s Hawkesbury meeting. Selections based on a good track.
Race 1 – 1:20PM THE KOYOMI HANDICAP (1800 METRES) |
---|
2. Baanone is getting close to a win and there was plenty of merit in his second-up fourth at Wyong earlier this month to suggest it. He’s won twice at a mile so the extra 200m shouldn’t be an issue and has found a winnable race. Go well.
Dangers: 3. Hemsted led and gave a good sight behind Genoveffa over this course two runs back then may not have run out the extra trip up to 2100m last time. Entitled to another chance. 1. Regal Toff did a good job to lead all the way when resuming at Goulburn over 1500m and while drawn the outside here there’s plenty of time for him to work forward and lead again. Could go on with it. 5. Notabadharada will find this a bit easier than his last few in midweek city class. Wasn't disgraced at Canterbury last start so no surprise if he's competitive.
How to play it: Baanone WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Baanone runs fourth at Wyong on September 6
Race 2 - 1:55PM THE GREAT NORTHERN HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
---|
1. Beaurama can be excused for his last start failure at Hawkesbury in June on a heavy track. Form last time in on good ground was solid at this level and while he’s had no public trials the stable is in good form as is his jockey so from gate two he has every chance.
Dangers: 5. Foxy Rocket looks the horse to beat but if anything he can leave his runs a bit late. That was the case over this course two weeks ago but should the race pan out for him he’ll take holding out. 2. Liam’s The Boss was safely held by the winner on debut at Canberra but he did find the line quite well and can only be improved out of that. Trained here and wouldn’t be leaving him out. 7. Flying Alliance is a bit of a mystery with only the one trial back in April. If there’s any push for her she’d be worth considering as a place chance or one for the exotics.
How to play it: Beaurama WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Beaurama’s last start fifth at Hawkesbury on a heavy track in June
Race 3 – 2.35PM TWO SONS PREMIUM PLATE (1300 METRES) |
---|
5. Edison won’t get a better chance to post a win than here, he comes back from an unlucky fourth at Group 3 level then a fair effort at 1500m at Listed level at his past two. Draws well, back to 1300m is ideal and is hard to go past. Read trainer Bjorn Baker's comments here.
Dangers: 10. Moreno is worth keeping safe and if there’s to be an upset he could be the one. Showed promise in his first prep and ran a solid third at Warwick Farm back in June.
Quiet trial last week at Rosehill and he should show up. 8. Kavalmo finished midfield at his only start at Warwick Farm back in May. Given a typical stable quiet trial and would pay to keep an eye on betting for a push. 2. Sethlans looked to have his chance at Wyong last start but only beaten half a length by Nature. Probably can't beat the favourite, all things being equal, but one of the chances.
How to play it: Edison WIN ($1.65 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Edison runs fourth in a Group 3 at Randwick on August 24
Race 4 – 3.10PM McWILLIAM’S STOLEN COLT PLATE (1000 METRES) |
---|
7. Mir has taken a while to get to the track but he comes here with two strong trial wins at this track in the last six weeks. He’s shown enough speed in his trials to say he’ll be handy and any support will tell you he’s ready for a debut win. Respect.
Dangers: 8. Spaceboy returns as a gelding and is the horse on previous form they all have to stop. He has taken on some smart ones in those four starts and always been in the market so back to a provincial maiden, gelded and with a trial win to his name he has every chance to break through. 9. Vaporizing ran a nice race fresh last prep and in all four starts she proved competitive. Nothing wrong with her recent trial effort and no shock to see her feature in the finish. 10. Giselle Anne tried hard against a promising one in Peak first-up then struck a heavy track and battled on fairly last week at the Farm. Better suited here and she can give a sight.
How to play it: Mir WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Mir wins a trial at Hawkesbury on September 9
Race 5 – 3.45PM CAMPO VIEJO ‘LIVE UNCORKED’ HANDICAP (1500 METRES) |
---|
4. Bottega could be a smart one if they way he put them away on debut at Newcastle is a guide. Had plenty of support and ran right up to it by dashing clear late, running 34.17 for his last 600m (Punter's Intelligence) or two lengths better than any other, and while he’s up in class he’s drawn well and if he does have that above average ability can repeat the dose.
Dangers: 1. Pacific Legend looked very good as he found form to win here two weeks ago and how Foxy Rocket goes in an earlier race could be a pointer to his chances. Should be handy to the speed and give a good sight. 3. Laila De Vega rarely runs a bad race and while she will need some luck from a wide gate if she gets any she’ll be thereabouts again. Tried hard here last time out over a mile and coming back 100m probably suits. 6. Dummy Run proved a bit too strong in posting his first win at Kembla at start six but he put the writing on the wall with a solid fresh effort so he’s obviously come back well. Could show up.
How to play it: Bottega WIN ($1.75 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Bottega wins on debut at Newcastle on September 3
Race 6 – 4.20PM BYRON BAY PREMIUM LAGER HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
---|
Speaking of easy wins, it’s hard to go past 12. Sally’s Day on the way she cantered home to win a maiden over this course two weeks ago. Sure she got a couple of breaks through the field but she wasn’t let go at all there. Tougher task but have to be with her.
Dangers: 5. Lass Vegas is racing in great form and followed her Kembla win with a nice effort at Wyong over 1000m on a heavy track. Soft draw should see her have a perfect run. Must be included. 3. Chicadilly hit the line strongly to be beaten less than a length by Lass Vegas at Kembla and hasn’t raced since. Generally finishes within a few lengths of the winner and has each-way claims at odds here. 9. Mosuo ran on well at Goulburn two starts back in a reasonable form race then stayed on okay at Wyong in a Class 2 where the runner-up has since won. Each-way claims.
How to play it: Sally’s Day WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Sally’s Day wins at Hawkesbury on September 12
Race 7 - 4:55PM BOMBAY SAPPHIRE RTD HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
---|
7. Tony’s Reward obviously had an issue last time in as he was put away after one run. His two trials back have been outstanding behind Renewal and Trekking and on those alone he has to be an each-way chance. His wins have come at Bathurst and Orange but be surprised if he doesn’t run well.
Dangers: 8. Deference led all the way to his maiden win at Canterbury in a good form race then led again but not up to it in the up & Coming. Has trialled since and much better placed here. 2. Versetto was a drifter in betting due to support for another runner but held on for a solid win at Newcastle earlier this month. Will be prominent again here. 11. Auchentoman doesn't win out of turn but he resumed with a handy effort here almost two months ago and has been kept fresh. Each-way.
How to play it: Tony’s Reward E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Tony’s Reward runs a close second in a Rosehill trial on September 17
Race 8 - 5:30PM THE TANQUERAY GIN HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
---|
5. Sakura hasn’t done much wrong and while she was safely held in third when resuming at Canterbury she did attack the line with gusto. Extra 100m and drop in grade suit and she should take plenty of beating.
Dangers: 11. Think It Over has changed stables this time in and he should be kept safe fresh even though his best will be over a mile plus. Hard to take much out of his only trial with two rivals but would be throwing him in. 9. Flash Palace looked to have his chance behind Academy at Kembla last time when favourite but has been freshened up so if he has some luck from the alley he could be an improver. 4. Mick's New Chick is generally pretty consistent and can improve on her last run at Kembla when back to 1200m. One to include in the exotics.
How to play it: Sakura WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Sakura runs third at Canterbury on September 11
All the fields, form and replays for Thursday’s Hawkesbury meeting