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By Nick Berney

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Thursday’s Hawkesbury meeting. Selections based on a good to soft track with rain forecast. Monitor for bias/pattern.

2. Edge Of Reward had excuses first-up at Port Macquarie 13 days ago for his new trainer Nathan Doyle. Further, he raced wide, was not suited to the pace of the race but still made a long-wide sustained run to hit the line for second. The four-year-old will have to overcome the tricky draw, but he has a string of winning ratings and is ready to improve.

Dangers: 9. Lady Gold hit the line hard in a recent trial at Rosehill and can sprint fresh. The three-year-old is racing at her home track and is a key late-market watch. 8. Headstock was $3.5-$3 late in the trade last start at Goulburn and tried hard in defeat in a high-rating race. 5. The Winter Sun is suited over a further distance but will be running on.

How to play it: Edge Of Reward WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Edge Of Reward runs second at Port Macquarie on October 7

5. Kahawaty led at a strong tempo first-up at Canterbury 29 days ago and was honest in defeat. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day after adjusting for age, class, additional factors, and the margins throughout confirmed the quality. The four-year-old is a consistent type, and second-up last prep, she produced her career peak figure. In addition, she maps to have all favours, is proven on the rain-affected ground and can rate to win.

Dangers: The John Thompson trained 1. Baranof resumes and has trialled well. Moreover, he wasn’t extended in his latest heat and went through the line full of energy. He will need some luck from the draw but has multiple winning figures. Although 4. Bionic was well beaten in his two starts last prep; those races had time/sectional merit. 8. Rangitikei is suited over a further distance but is one for the exotics.

How to play it: Kahawaty WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Kahawaty runs fourth at Canterbury on September 21

Forgiving of 8. Tambourine Man’s debut run last prep at this track where he had excuses. The gelding was heavily backed $3.5-$2.8 late in the trade, raced wide throughout in a strong tempo and nothing went right. He resumes here after two trials, and the blinkers go on for race day. Expect him to be running on hard.

Dangers: 3. Fudai wasn’t suited first-up last prep after settling at the rear of the field in a slow tempo but ran on well. He has drawn well and is a market watch. Debutant 9. Vincenzo hit the line hard in a recent trial, and the Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou trained runners are historically wound up and ready to run well fresh. Add 11. Painite to trifectas and first fours who brings a fitness edge.

How to play it: Tambourine Man WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Tambourine Man’s latest trial at Randwick on September 26

Debutant 4. Global Empire is a nice type and has trialled well in time/sectional merit heats. The three-year-old has shown brilliant gate speed and maps to have all favours. Expect him to roll forward and give a sight. Each-way.

Dangers: 19. Red Card, who resumed at Goulburn 27 days ago, led at a strong tempo and kicked away at the top of the straight in a high-rating race. Moreover, she looked like the winner but was gobbled up over the concluding stages by a smart one. Expect her to roll forward and give a sight. Add 11. I Am Real and 13. Melissa to all exotics.

How to play it: Global Empire E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Global Empire runs second in a trial at Warwick Farm on October 7

Forget 1. Onemore Sapphire’s last start in the Coonamble Cup, where he had excuses and was a notable drifter in the market. Prior to that start, he was well-backed when winning at Port Macquarie and hit the line hard to score. The seven-year-old is proven at the distance, and the in-form Sam Clipperton rides for the first time. Each-way.

Dangers: 4. Bak Da Man brings a starting price profile edge over Onemore Sapphire and ran well at Kembla seven days ago. He is an honest type and has a definite chance. 5. Twice On Sunday brings metropolitan form lines and maps to control the pace. Expect her to give a sight.

How to play it: Onemore Sapphire E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Onemore Sapphire’s last start at Dubbo on October 12

Open race and leaning towards the rock-hard fit 7. Satness who has been racing consistently this prep and brings a strong starting price profile. The gelding has been beaten by only narrow margins in similar grades this campaign, proven on the rain-affected ground and races well at this track. Each-way.

Dangers: 6. Remus receives a gear change and drops in grade. Moreover, he has a strong record at Hawkesbury for four starts, a win and two placings. 9. Singapura comes through the same race as Remus last start and will be savaging the line. Market watch 1. Caboteur who has the class and 2. Vienna Rain gets the blinkers back on.

How to play it: Satness E/W ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Satness runs fourth at Kembla Grange on October 13

5. London wasn’t suited to the sit and sprint tempo last start and raced flat after being well backed to start a $2.50 favourite. Before that start, he won easily and savaged the line, clocking one of the fastest final 600m splits of the entire meeting in 34.44. The three-year-old is suited to the anticipated genuine tempo where he produces his best performances, and his career peak figure came at this track/distance.

Dangers: 8. Sweet Mercy resumes and brings strong form lines to this event. The filly raced well last prep against the likes of In Secret and has a solid starting price profile. She maps to have all favours and is a major player. 1. Tocomah is fit and coming off a strong performance last start, where he beat London home. 2. One Way Street will give a sight and add 3. Hey Little Sister to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: London WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

London last start at Hawkesbury on September 22

6. Hoover Lucy is 47 days between runs but had factors against first-up. She brings the strongest form lines to this event and maps to have all favours.

Dangers: 12. Persevere is a knockout chance and add 1. Stick To Your Guns to trifectas and first fours. 2. Sempreinte will be fitter and is the likely leader.

How to play it: Hoover Lucy WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Hoover Lucy's last start at Randwick on September 3

Best Bet: Race 2 # 5 – Kahawaty

Next Best: Race 1 # 2 – Edge Of Reward

Best Value: Race 7 # 5 - London

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday’s Hawkesbury meeting