By Neil Evans
Track around Soft 7 and rail out 3m so likely just off the speed before trending wider
Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1500m): |
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The maidens over the middle distance get us underway. Like the value about 3YO gelding 5. Clever Man from the Randwick stable of Anthony Cummings fifth up with an important gear change, and scratched from a 2YO and 3YO Maiden at Gosford on Thursday. Has led in his last two at provincial level, sticking on well two runs back, but blinkers come off, and he can relax nicely back down in weight.
Dangers: No doubt 3YO Rosehill gelding 1. Chewie Two is the one to beat despite the big weight after three straight seconds, here and last start at Hawkesbury. Should either lead or park right behind the speed, but not completely sold on him up in trip. Randwick filly 6. Todwick closed off nicely second-up in a handy maiden at Newcastle, and draws to get a soft run back in the field.
How to play it: Clever Man to win; quinella 1 and 5; and box trifecta 1,5,6. Odds and Evens (First 2): Odds
Race 2 C, G & E MAIDEN PLATE (1300m): |
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Back in trip for the boys only, and this could be an intriguing two-horse war. The lone 2YO in the field 10. Toscanini from the Maher-Eustace yard at Warwick Farm comes back from a near three month break off two forward trials. Showed plenty of ability early first prep in Victoria charging home to just miss on debut, and then even more impressive from well back in Listed company. Suited drawn towards the outside.
Dangers: Imported 4YO 8. Recondite resumes off a near eight month spell as a gelding in first Australian run for the Freedman stable. UK form in first prep was very consistent in handy rated races, and stable has given him two trials to prepare. Be shocked if anything else wins, although Warwick Farm 3YO 7. Noble Albert can improve sharply after doing plenty wrong on debut. Has since trialled okay and was scratched from Bathurst on Thursday; while 3YO 2. Chateaux Park has run on okay in two runs back at Canberra and Newcastle, and extra trip a natural plus.
How to play it: Toscanini to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Toscanini runs third in a trial at Warwick Farm on May 22
Race 3 F & M MAIDEN PLATE (1300m): |
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Now the girls' turn over same trip. Keen on 3YO filly 8. Polliziotta having her first run this year for new local stable of John Bateman after transferring from the Victorian yard of Archie Alexander. Has good ability, and will relish the long straight.
Dangers: Warwick Farm filly 2. Enduring Night; and home track mare 7. Petaluma first-up for six months can both find the line.
How to play it: Poliziotta to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Race 4 CLASS 3 HCP (1000m): |
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Despite a rise in class and drawn the outside, local 3YO 6. Fat Gecko from the Danielle Seib yard can make it two from his last three. Was a dominant heavy track winner two runs back before again looking home at Albury before swamped late. Will prove hard to catch down 3kg from that run.
Dangers: Randwick 4YO 1. Invincible Lad has finished off his last couple when ridden further forward, but suited back on the bigger track, although not treated well under 61kg. Albury mare and former Victorian 5. Chap's Dream heads north after winning her last two in soft going, rounding up Fat Gecko last start, although worse off at the weights and this is harder. Kembla mare 8. Two Seas can sprint well fresh resuming off a lengthy break.
How to play it: Fat Gecko to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Race 5 2YO MAIDEN HCP (1000m): |
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Competitive sprint here for the babies, with several on debut. Not so Rosehill filly 6. Pressita who resumes off a solid debut run and two recent trials for the Lee Curtis yard. Draws to park right behind the speed, and this is ideal.
Dangers: Liked the two trials of Randwick colt and first starter 2. Kaufusi (Super One x Dakota Sue by Pollard's Vision) who is bred to go fast. Randwick gelding 1. Heat was sound on debut at Kembla, and should be in the finish; while filly 16. Hoopla held her ground well on debut at Kembla, although needs another scratching to get a run.
How to play it: Pressita to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Pressita runs third in a Rosehill trial on May 19
Race 6 BM 58 HCP (1200m): |
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Open contest with plenty of chances. Improving 3YO filly 8. Judge's Daughter from the Gary Nickson stable at Warwick Farm is ready for the extra distance fourth-up after doing her best work late in a CL2 at Queanbeyan. Drawn to get cover, and will appreciate the longer straight here. Preferred here to Bathurst on Thursday.
Dangers: Albury mare 2. Kentucky Wildcat dropped back from metro grade to miss by a whisker this grade at Wagga, and back up 1200m on a bigger track suits. Canberra 7YO 3. Damagic is as honest as they come around this grade, scoring at Moruya last start in record time, but back up to 60kg. Randwick 6YO 6. The Patrician has a poor winning strike-rate, but has been hitting the line late in deeper races, and best form is on rain-affected ground.
How to play it: Judge's Daughter each way and trifecta 2,3,8/2,3,6,8/2,3,6,8. Odds and Evens: Evens.
Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1400m): |
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Same grade, but stronger field. Moruya 4YO 2. Chairman's Choice from the Natalie Jarvis stable has never gone better. Flew home late to win a CL2 at the Sapphire Coast before again finishing hard to just miss at Moruya. Extra trip an obvious plus, and just needs a good tempo on up front.
Dangers: Canberra 4YO 4. Who's Shout was ridden too close last start at home when only fair to the line, and is much better when he can be saved up from further back. South Coast 5YO 1. Colesberg doesn't win often, but draws well and has a sound record at this track; while Canberra mare 9. Jellies continues to improve, and draws to get plenty of cover around midfield.
How to play it: Chairman's Choice to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Race 8 BM 58 HCP (1600m): |
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Moderate and tricky battle over the mile to finish. Randwick 5YO 1. Think Straight from the Anthony Cummings stable has generally mixed it in tougher company this prep, and was unlucky hitting the line hard in a BM 64 last start. Despite the big weight and wide barrier, he stacks up well against this lot, and can be ridden cold from well back.
Dangers: Rosehill 3YO 7. Blue Tattoo is looking for this trip fourth-up after having little luck last start here when easy in betting. Canberra 5YO 5. Flight Commander mixes his form, although can roll forward into a nice spot, and this is his best distance.
How to play it: Think Straight to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
All the fields, form and replays for Friday's Goulburn meeting