Tips by Jack Webster for Friday's Muswellbrook meeting. Selections based on a good track.
Race 1 - 1:00PM BENGALLA MAIDEN HANDICAP (1000 METRES) |
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4. Tesorino comes into this off a solid trial performance finishing third at Hawkesbury. Showed early promise but faded late, suggesting fitness improvement is likely. Well-placed to make an impact first-up. One to watch.
Dangers: 1. Gimmie Gimmie has been consistent this campaign and looks ready to strike. Boxed in last start but fought hard for third. Freshened and benefits from a 4kg claim, making her well-placed to deliver. 3. Panta Rhei comes in off two respectable trials, showing promise at Scone in her most recent trial with a strong finish and holding off competition throughout. Ready to make an impact on debut. 8. Star Venture struggled in initial runs but another who has trialled well leading up to this. Gets the inside gate and could cause an upset first-up.
How to play it: Tesorino WIN ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 2 - 1:35PM KELDAN COMMERCIAL F&M CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1450 METRES) |
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3. Hibiki Harmony led throughout and finished strong to win last start at Quirindi. Was runner-up here in the race prior using similar tactics but was run down in the closing stages. Draws the fence today and benefits from a 1.5kg claim. Race fit and should go close here again.
Dangers: 4. Girly Pop gave an impressive account when winning on debut at Tamworth with a large margin over the rest of the field. Freshened and looks to build on that performance going into this one for back-to-back victories. 5. Rich Street showed great late race pace to win at Wellington last start. Fitter for the 2-week turnaround and gets another chance here. 8. See The Saint won on debut but has shown a decline in form since then. However, still has the potential to bounce back and remains a chance in this field.
How to play it: Hibiki Harmony WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 3 - 2:10PM BJ'S WORKWEAR CG&E CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1450 METRES) |
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2. Powerful Dragon has been showing steady improvement since his debut, with a narrow third at Scone followed by a gutsy win at Kempsey last start, displaying a strong turn of foot. Hasn't done much wrong and with a good barrier draw, looks well-placed to make an impact.
Dangers: 6. Judge Jack won on debut in a similar race at Tamworth over 1200m. Freshened up and looks set to benefit from the longer distance. Should look to build on that performance and strike again here. 1. Chilly Charlie, trained by Ciaron Maher, drops back to country level after respectable but non-competitive city runs. Race fit and well-suited to this class, he shapes as a strong contender. 7. The Mystery Guy gave a decent account last week at scone but was boxed out in a crucial stage in the closing moments. Fitter for that run and can be a competitor here on conditions that suit.
How to play it: Powerful Dragon WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 4 - 2:45PM WARREN TURNER ELECTRICAL CNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 1 (1280 METRES) |
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1. On the Quiet overcame challenges to score a determined win here last start over the same distance against a similar field. Gets a better draw here, freshened, and will look to build on that performance heading into this one.
Dangers: 2. You Think You Know was impressive on debut at Scone, taking the lead early and holding off challengers to score. Has trialed strongly in each outing and looks the one to beat in this field. 3. Sheila’s Fanta Sea showed grit to fend off challengers and score at Taree last start in a tenacious run. Benefits from a 2kg claim and should be fitter with the quick two-week turnaround. 6. A Pound of Salt was runner-up at Quirindi when resuming this campaign, narrowly beaten in a tight finish. Will need to overcome challenge from the wide draw but is poised to go close again.
How to play it: On the Quiet WIN ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 5 - 3:20PM BHP MT ARTHUR COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1280 METRES) |
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6.Strassman finished a distant second on debut at Armidale last week but fought on well. Trialed strongly in the lead-up and is expected to improve with natural progression. Race fit and benefits from the quick one-week turnaround. Awkward draw but still a strong contender in this one.
Dangers: 5. Moroccan Thunder is on debut and presents his home track following a strong trial at Scone. A definite one to watch, with the ability to strike on debut. 3. Bondi Prophet has been close in previous attempts but has fallen just short, finishing just outside the placings last run at Kempsey and third here in the run prior. Draws better than last time and benefits from a 2kg claim. 9. Missile Love finished runner-up last start at Quirindi, but the winner proved too strong. Previous runs have been mixed, but with the right conditions, she has every chance to cause an upset here.
How to play it: Strassman WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 6 - 4:00PM PIRTEK MUSWELLBROOK MAIDEN HANDICAP (1750 METRES) |
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5. Crusheen Lass slow to fire in initial campaigns with some competitive city attempts but struggled to make an impact. Has shown significant improvement in her last five starts since returning to country level, highlighted by a solid runner-up finish at Queanbeyan. Should benefit from the drop in distance here.
Dangers: 12. Thrill Of Brazil displayed a sharp turn of foot last start at Scone, charging home late to secure third from a wide barrier. With a more favourable race setup today, poses a serious threat. One to watch. 4. Think We’re There delivered a respectable performance last start, finishing second at Scone where the winner proved too strong. Can be competitive again. 10. Highland Eightgee hit the line strongly at Hawkesbury last start and should be fitter for the quick one-week turnaround. Yet to break through after 18 starts but has the potential to make an impact here.
How to play it: Crusheen Lass WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 7 - 4:40PM BAKER & FARROW BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP (1750 METRES) |
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5. Like Lukey has been consistent across six career starts, recording one win and four placings. Scored impressively last start with an explosive turn of foot in the final stretch, leaving a big margin on the field. Third up here and retains her jockey. Main threat.
Dangers: 12. Off the Scale outclassed at city level last start but won her maiden here in the run prior. Has been consistent across four career starts and draws the fence, giving her every chance to bounce back here. 8. Release Point Showed marked improvement last start at Scone, where the winner proved too strong, but there was a big margin back to the rest of the field. Looks to build on that effort heading into this race. 1. Lady Tino broke through last start at Scone with a strong late burst, running down the leader in the closing stages. Form prior had been mixed, but the inside draw and 1.5kg claim are key advantages here.
How to play it: Like Lukey WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
Race 8 - 5:20PM MUSWELLBROOK STEEL SUPPLIES RUSTY SPANNER (1000 METRES) |
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10. Harbour Gold enters this off a commanding win last week at Roma, Queensland, where he led from the front for an impressive victory. Draws the fence here over a distance that suits and benefits from a 4kg apprentice claim, giving him a positive race setup.
Dangers: 11. Heir Apparent has won two of his three starts since resuming this campaign, with his latest victory a gutsy finish at Kempsey, outlasting the competition in the closing stages. Steps up to a distance that suits and should go close here. 2. Outishka Has shown impressive form at the country level. Disappointed at Kembla Grange last start but won here in the race prior. With a 2kg claim engaged, she remains a main threat in this one. 3. Akaka Falls Has shown mixed form but has been improving this campaign. With a positive race setup, she looks to be in the mix here.
How to play it: Harbour Gold WIN ($7.00 TAB Fixed Odds)
All the fields, form and replays for Friday's Muswellbrook meeting