By Neil Evans
Track Soft 7 and rail True
Race 1 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN HCP (1000m): |
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We start over the sprint trip, with some rain forecast. Russian Revolution three-year-old 3. Augusta Revolution will be hard to stop here on debut. Was gelded before a quiet trial, and draws well for a leading country stable.
Dangers: Big watch on four-year-old 1. Rockin' Edition who only went down narrowly on debut, and wouldn't need to improve much. Keep safe 11. Suomenlinna who draws the inside second-up with a 3kg weight claim; while 4. Ithacus and 5. Mr Dupridge; are the best of the rest.
How to play it: Augusta Revolution to win
Odds and Evens: Odds
Race 2 FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN HCP (1000m): |
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More open affair in the girls' edition, although 8. Hubie Dubie is well placed second-up. Chased home a handy quality winner when resuming at Muswellbrook, and this looks a shade weaker.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by 4. In The Air Tonight who led for a long way on debut, but threatens to go around under the odds from a wide barrier. One who is over the odds, 2. Charm Factor did her best work late first-up, and can park a bit closer here from a soft draw; while 6. Wedding Tent and 12. Spiritual Gal can both run into the minor end of the prize.
How to play it: Hubie Dubie to win
Odds and Evens: Evens a special
Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m): |
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This shapes ideally for three-year-old Flying Artie debutant 6. Thespius behind two smart trial wins on rain-affected ground. Has been recently gelded, and draws to get the right run with key gear additions including winkers.
Dangers: Honest 4. The Drafter is a serious threat fifth-up with winkers applied. Even more consistent has been 3. Set The Scene who has missed narrowly in his last two, although likely to settle further back from this draw fifth-up. Include 8. Battle Award third-up in exotic bets.
How to play it: Thespius to win
Odds and Evens: Evens
Race 4 CLASS 3 HCP (1400m): |
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Keen here on Outreach five-year-old 2. Hurn Court who can break a lengthy winless run from the inside draw fifth-up and on a seven day turnaround. Did his best work late in tougher Highway grade two starts ago before again finishing hard in a similar graded race at Warren, and crucially will park a bit closer to the speed here.
Dangers: Expecting big improvement from 5. Cheptegei second-up over significantly more ground, and with a stronger rider aboard. From a soft draw, keep safe too 6. Linden Tree who is deep into the prep and also comes through that same Warren formline; while 1. Sea Of Flames resumes without publicly trialling and is drawn wide, but won three straight convincingly last prep before tackling Highway opposition.
How to play it: Hurn Court to win
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 5 BENCHMARK 66 HCP (1000m): |
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From the same Dubbo stable as the previous on top selection, talented mare 2. Hammoon Star can bounce back hard second-up from a softer draw. Did some work to get across when resuming before running home only fairly, but she has superior room for progression.
Dangers: Tough as old boots, 3. The Neon Knight draws to get a nice smother just off the speed, and will be strong late. Keep safe 5. Praline second-up and staying at the distance; while 1. Deshawn and 6. Titan Star both go in trifectas and first fours.
How to play it: Hammoon Star to win
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 6 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1600m): |
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Strong and wide race for this grade, with handy depth and naturally several chances. Proven weight carrier 1. Toulon Factor is well over the odds fifth-up getting back out to a more suitable trip. Charged home late in a similar grade race at Dubbo, and drawn to find a good trail back in the field.
Dangers: Evergreen 2. Hemsted has won his last three powering home from midfield, but faces a task up in weight from a wide draw. Another one representing value, 12. Merdeka is on the seven day back-up after missing by a whisker in a CL2. Must respect tough mare 4. Lady Riz who is hard fit, and has only missed narrowly in her last couple after tracking the speed. Include 6. Honeywine fourth-up dropping back from the BM 84 Cotton Cup; and 10. Fusaichi Family also fourth-up off a long break; in wider exotics.
How to play it: Toulon Factor each way and box trifecta 1,2,4,12
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1100m): |
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Like super consistent mare 3. Kora Magic to finally shed the bridesmaid tag fourth-up. Incredibly has beaten all bar the winner in her last five, either side of a six month spell, and from this low draw can either lead or sit right behind. The one to beat.
Dangers: Resuming three-year-old 2. Sizzle Minizzle hasn't started since his maiden win in May, but can come to hand quickly; while 4. Rupertson resuming for a new country yard; 5. Timmy fourth-up; and 8. Foxstorm who has only missed a place once from his last five; all go into exotics.
How to play it: Kora Magic to win
Odds and Evens: Split
BEST BETS:
R3 6. THESPIUS
R4 2. HURN COURT
BEST VALUE:
R7 3. KORA MAGIC
All the fields, form and replays for Sunday's Wellington meeting