By Neil Evans
Track Soft 5 and Rail True
Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m): |
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Hard fit 3. Release The Spirit is banging on the door deep into his prep. Has been narrowly beaten in two of his last three in slightly deeper company, and draws ideally here for one who likes to roll forward & camp right on the speed.
Dangers: Big respect for 5. Clever Cookie who is tracking to peak third-up over more ground. 1. Conversations can improve sharply, getting on to drier ground second-up; while 4. Bling Empire heads the rest third-up, and is suited over a furlong further.
How to play it: Release The Spirit to win
Race 2 FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN PLATE (1100m): |
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Progressive & lightly raced 6. Lunaire is the one to beat, drawn to land right behind the speed. Kept finding the line when resuming in heavy ground to only miss by a long neck in a tougher race after being backed from $5.00 into $3.60. Only needs clear air from the 350m to break her maiden.
Dangers: Look for an improved run third-up from 2. Dervinia in a race of less depth. 3. Flight Or Fight has beaten all but the winner in her last two, and has a 50 percent place rate from 10 starts; while 5. Loch Anton Lady is still hunting a breakthrough win ahead of her 25th start, but hasn't missed a place in her last three.
How to play it: Lunaire to win
Race 3 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN PLATE (1100m): |
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Former Victorian 2. Check Your Six can break through coming back 100m in trip; especially with the early hot favorite preferred at Sunday's Wyong meeting. Came off a break to hit the line well in his first outing for the new Central West stable; and even better suited on drying ground; he gets a stronger and more experienced jockey taking over for what is a modest lineup.
Dangers: Big watch on 7.O'explosive from the Bjorn Baker stable resuming without the blinkers behind two easy trials; while 6. My Turn Astern is on an 11-day back-up coming through a handy maiden. Gap to the rest.
How to play it: Check Your Six to win
Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (900m): |
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Improving mare 3. Aspen Boulevard can strike fourth-up from a low draw, with key gear changes. Has stuck on well after leading in her last two, ony beaten by small margins after working from wider draws. Gets a timely weight drop after the jockeys claim; and the drop back 100m in distance is a further plus.
Dangers: Watch for any money around 9. The Git Up who resumes off a seven month spell without the blinkers, or publicly trialling. Has plenty of ability, and only missed a place once in five runs last campaign. Keep safe 7. Miss Adamas fourth-uip with blinkers going on; while lightly raced 1. Pattera can run into minor money. Gap to the rest.
How to play it: Aspen Boulevard to win
Race 5 CLASS 2 HCP (1600m): |
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Consistent mare 5. No Second Thoughts is well placed deep into the prep from a sound trailing draw. Hasn't missed a place this campaign, the latest close-up at Nowra in a BM 58 before working home from slightly further back in a strong CL1 at Goulburn. Comes through some superior formlines; and desperately looking for this longer trip now; is again drawn to settle right behind the speed
Dangers: Big watch on 3. Magnace who made up plenty of ground third-up in the deeper Cup Prelude at Dubbo, and gets an extra furlong here. 4. Ocean Honour has ability, and comes back in trip after missing narrowly in the BM 75 Louth Cup. Another one emerging through a handy Dubbo formline is 6. Outback Crumpet who gets a timely 2kg weight drop staying at the distance; while 8. Way To Divine behind a smart last-start maiden win is the next best.
How to play it: No Second Thoughts to win
Race 6 CLASS 1 HCP (1000m): |
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Improving mare 2. Octavian Treasure reloads off an 11-day turnaround after being beaten a long neck in a handy sprint when backed from $5.50 into $4.40. That form reads well given she was coming off a freshen-up and had to work early from a wider barrier. Can park right behind the leader here from a more economical gate; and previously had bolted in her maiden at Tamworth before tackling much tougher CL2 Highway company at Rosehill.
Dangers: 5. Green Pineapple is lightly raced, and resumed with a tidy maiden win in heavy going. 6. Not Written off returns off a long break via two spaced trials, but can come to hand quickly. 7. Magic Madonna also won her maiden first--up when launching from the back; while including both 1. Legolas and 9. Tincity, in trifecta and first four plays.
How to play it: Octavian Treasure to win
Race 7 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1100m): |
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Progressive mare 5. Ms Reeves peaks third-up in a wide open race over 100m further. Resumed for just his second full prep off a forward trial when failing to finish off in a handy BM 58 at Dubbo; but a much better run at the same track on a Soft 7 last time when working home okay into a place through inferior ground. The extra distance here is a bonus, and so too is a drying track, with both wins from nine career starts coming on a Good-rated surface.
Dangers: Plenty starting with 10. Obey who peaks fourth-up from a good cover draw. 11. Hampton Cove is hard fit and reloads off a fighting win in weaker grade four weeks ago. Honest 6. Sunday Bell drops significantly in grade deep into his prep. Both 2. That's Better improving third-up; and 8. Cheap Shot are worthy inclusions in exotic plays.
How to play it: Ms Reeves each way
Race 8 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1100m): |
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Underrated 3. Shaquila finds a race with slightly less quality deep into his prep. Swept home to easily win a CL1 in heavy going before again hitting the line hard from well back in this grade at Warren. Ridden closer in his next two & wasn't beaten far. With good speed on; can be ridden a little quieter and get to the outside past the 350m. Like most of the stock handles all ground.
Dangers: Resuming from a soft draw behind an impressive trial win, 4. Taborca is the immediate threat. Big watch too on 10. Kora Magic drawn inside third-up, with a key jockey change. 11. Simply Better is also right in the mix from a better draw; while1. 1. Pyromania draws wide, but is very fit coming through some handy formlines.
How to play it: Shaquila to win
Race 9 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1400m): |
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Improving 1. Naval Destroyer can bounce back second-up with blinkers replacing winkers after failing to handle wet & inferior ground when resuming in a deeper CL2. Was always hard in the market when claiming his maiden third-up last prep; and while he climbs in weight; less depth here and he's clearly at his best on firmer ground. Drawn towards the middle this time where he can track up from midfield before producing a superior final burst.
Dangers: 3. Bliss has gone under narrowly in her last two. 7. Barry The Poet recaptured his best form last start charging home to win a similar-graded race. 11. Cafe Award also comes off a smart second-up maiden win; while 13. Sheza Rainbird is the best of the rest second-up.
How to play it: Naval Destroyer to win
BEST BETS:
R4 3. ASPEN BOULEVARD
R6 2. OCTAVIAN TREASURE
BEST VALUE:
R8 3. SHAQUILA
All the fields, form and replays for Monday's Wellington meeting