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Neil Evans' Tips For Scone (Monday)

By Neil Evans

Track likely Soft 6 and rail out 3m from 800m to 400m into a cut/away & True the remainder:

Race 1 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):

We start over the mile, and home track four-year-old 3. Outburst can go one better following a solid return in a BM 58 under 63.5kg after more than a year off the scene. Showed plenty as a juvenile winning here at his second start and progressing to metropolitan Listed level, and is headed for bigger targets than this.

Dangers: Rival local 5. The Dramatist is a clear threat after destroying his opposition here second-up when sweeping home from midfield. Gap to the rest headed by 7. Bridges To Babylon who will appreciate being back at home on the bigger track after working home strongly from a mile back almost on the outside rail at Quirindi.

How to play it: Outburst to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 2 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1000m):

Back to the sprint trip in a good quality race for this grade. Keen on smart mare 3. Moetta resuming after more than six months off. Campaigned well enough in Highway grade last prep, and while she hasn't publicly trialled, always comes to hand quickly having never finished further back than second in four fresh runs.

Dangers: Home track mare 6. Tucson Valley has good tactical speed, and is a big threat fourth-up. Has won twice in her last three, bolting away with a thinner sprint four weeks ago, but more depth in this & she climbs to 59kg. Preferred here to Mudgee on Sunday. Watch for lightly raced five-year-old 7. Farmer's Friend charging home late. Has taken a long time to find his best since switching stables, but the way he flew home at Coonamble suggests he's getting back to his top. Tough seven-year-old 1. Kensington Kid has been up for a long time, but continues to race well. Draws to get a soft run behind the speed, but taking on some smarter ones here.

How to play it: Moetta to win and trifecta 3,6,7/1,3,6,7/1,3,6,7
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (900m):

While this looms as a very open short-course affair, metro filly 11. Shoo Shoo Shoo represents big value first-up after a one-off debut run eight months back when he found the line okay from midfield at Kembla. Given plenty of time, and been fitted with two forward trials.

Dangers: Local filly 10. Lady Rupert draws much better ahead of her second start after working home nicely into a place on debut. Was scratched from Mudgee on Sunday to run here. Big watch on Tamworth filly 7. Arliebel who debuts behind a dominant trial win at this track, and the stable is underrated. Home three-year-old 2. Just Strolling drops back from three mixed runs in deeper provincial grade, but faces a task from the wider barrier under 59.5kg; while watching the betting too on first starter 8. Frau Holle who comes out of that same recent trial here behind Arliebel.

How to play it: Shoo Shoo Shoo each way and box exacta 7,10,11
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (2200m):

Out we go to the staying journey in another wide race. Talented filly 9. Velvet Lady is the most progressive one in the race, and can go back-to-back in her first outing at home since early last spring. Swept home wider out from well back to claim a handy CL1 provincial scalp third-up, and even better suited on a course with a long gradual run for home.

Dangers: Tough mare 2. Dissenter hasn't been far away in her last two, and comes back a notch in class. Included in exotics 1. Careering Away who is honest and fit, and will appreciate the improving surface; while 5. Senatorial, 7. Sir Bawn and 8. Onehero; are all deep into their preps and can run into a place at odds.

How to play it: Velvet Lady to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):

This shapes as an ideal starting point for lightly raced home track four-year-old 2. Fiendish ahead of a second prep. Did everything but win in four runs last year, missing by a long neck or less in three of those. Has trialled nicely and the trainer has removed the blinkers.

Dangers: Keep safe Duporth filly 8. Allay who has spent plenty of time at the trials, and draws well; while debutant local mare 6. Gemmayze debuts in blinkers behind three spaced trials.

How to play it: Fiendish to win and quinella 2 and 8
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 6 MAIDEN HCP (1400m):

Plenty of chances here. Metro three-year-old 1. Portnoy resumes for her second prep in an easier race, and has been fitted with two improving trials.

Dangers: Watch the betting on Irish-bred 2. Spital Architect who debuts from a nice draw behind three quiet trials; while including 8. Miss Laquetta fourth-up from the inside barrier in all exotics.

How to play it: Portnoy to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1100m):

Promising provincial three-year-old 7. Oakfield Mahogany maps to pick up where he left off in spring winning here on debut when backed from $4.80 into $3.60. Looked very forward in winning a recent trial, and the leading country rider sticks solid in a race severely weakened by scratchings.

Dangers: Progressive 4. Back To Front is over the odds third-up and can run the quinella. Charged home to beat a handy maiden field here two weeks ago.

How to play it: Oakfield Mahogany to win and quinella 4 and 7
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 CLASS 3 HCP (1400m):

Competitive contest to close the meeting. Smart three-year-old 5. Luscinia put them to sword easily enough when resuming off a nine month spell after bolting in on debut. Headed for bigger races, and rates clear on top despite an awkward draw.

Dangers: Big watch on Pierro three-year-old 4. Conegliano who won twice in his first prep, and returns behind two typical quiet trials for that metro stable. Provincial four-year-old 1. Lemaire is very honest, and will get a soft run from the draw. Led all the way to beat a handy CL2 field at Wagga, although not well treated carrying the same weight up to this level. Include 7. Jutland in wider exotics.

How to play it: Luscinia to win
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R4 9. VELVET LADY
R8 5. LUSCINIA

BEST VALUE:
R3 11. SHOO SHOO SHOO

All the fields, form and replays for Monday's Scone meeting

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