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By Neil Evans

Track Heavy 8 and rail True.

We start with a small field over the longer trip. This looks at the mercy of provincial three-year-old 5. Sky Ace who will find this easier than her last two. Hard fit deep into her prep, and well treated on the limit weight.

Dangers: Improving 4. Hombre Grande has had four runs back, and draws to get a soft run on speed; while 2. Turnaround Time is also back in quality fifth-up, and gets a cosy run on the fence behind the speed.

How to play it: Sky Ace to win
Odds and Evens: Split a special

Keen on six-year-old 8. St Anton making it two straight this prep. Came from well off the speed for a tough heavy track win in weaker class. Draws to get a trail off the fence, and this isn't much harder.

Dangers: Keep safe 7. Royal Gun Salute who has shown steady improvement this prep; while 2. Papadum can improve sharply second-up and down in quality.

How to play it: St Anton to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Tricky affair, although metro three-year-old 1. Packer only needs to slot in for cover from the awkward draw to be the one to beat. Charged home from well back in a handy country maiden before sitting closer and missing narrowly at Muswellbrook. Those runs augur well for this, and he's well treated carrying only half a kilo more.

Dangers: Improving three-year-old 2. Echo's Arrow can figure at his third start dropping back from provincial company. Keep safe 6. Khumbu who is honest, and drops to the limit weight; while 3. Mancconi goes in trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Packer to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Progressive metro filly 5. Amazing Nicci finds an ideal race fourth-up, and can go back-to-back after sweeping home for a dominant heavy track maiden win at Orange. Draws to be tucked away back in the field, and only needs clear air from the 400m to run over them.

Dangers: Big watch on Canberra mare 1. Cotton Fields resuming behind a nice trial win, and already a first-up winner. Provincial mare 2. Maddison's Missile is also chasing a second straight win after tracking the speed and going home best in a handy CL2 at Wagga.

How to play it: Amazing Nicci to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Keen on provincial filly 5. Bondadosa third-up after charging home to miss by a whisker here at big odds. Bred to thrive on wet tracks, and race has been severely weakened by scratchings.

Dangers: Big watch on metro Tavistock filly 4. Bonaventure on debut with key gear additions; while 1. Angry Liam can improve sharply third-up.

How to play it: Bondadosa to win
Odds and Evens: Split

This is well within the reach of yet another Warwick Farm visitor, three-year-old 4. Unwritten who has only finished further back than second once in four runs this prep. Surged home in soft ground to win his maiden two starts back before chasing bravely as favourite at Mudgee. Handles the wet, and just needs to chart a path away from the fence if the inside ground doesn't hold up.

Dangers: Rival 'Farm four-year-old 3. Tip Top Timing is the natural threat fifth-up coming back from a deeper provincial class where he was beaten under two lengths; while 6. Aurora Florentina heads the rest.

How to play it: Unwritten to win
Odds and Evens: Split

We wrap the meeting with a very modest restricted sprint. Like five-year-old 1. El Prados deep into the prep in going he relishes, and big weight off-set by a 2kg claim. Stuck on well after leading in a deeper BM 58 last start, and was beaten by a good one at his only previous start at this track.

Dangers: Don't dismiss provincial filly 5. Las Vegas Girl rising in grade and dropping in weight fifth-up; and 7. Taylor Be Swift is some value second-up.

How to play it: El Prados to win
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R3 1. PACKER
R4 5. AMAZING NICCI

BEST VALUE:
R7 1. EL PRADOS

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Nowra meeting