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Neil Evans' Tips For Goulburn (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track likely Soft 7 and Rail True:

Race 1 CLASS 1 HCP (900m):

We start over the short course on a track that will likely improve back into soft range. Resuming metro mare 2. Extraweird can strike here in suitable going. Has trialled well in open class over this trip, and on debut nearly a year ago powered home to win easily at the provincials.

Dangers: Big watch on 4. Covalent resuming off two trials, and bred to handle the ground. Locally-trained 3. Master Joe is also fresh, and has plenty of early speed; while keeping safe 1. Sacred Field who rushed home for a dominant first-up win at Newcastle, although up sharply in weight and facing more depth here.

How to play it: Extraweired to win
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 2 BENCHMARK 66 HCP (1300m):

Coming off a last start BM 58 country win, keen on 2. Celestial Doll who can take the next step from a soft draw. The more the track dries out the better her chances are in what is now a very weak race for this grade.

Dangers: Honest home track four-year-old 6. Charlemagne gets winkers on for the first time; while 8. Doola Teela can turn around some ordinary form over this prep, with the blinkers off again.

How to play it: Celestial Doll to win
Odds and Evens: Evens a special

Race 3 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1500m):

Keen here on South Coast four-year-old 2. Noble Attack despite dropping out in a CL1 on similar ground at Kembla. Had to work early from the barrier that day, but his previous two runs in the money are a better pointer for this. Safe in this sort of going, and the race lacks depth. Has a 50 percent place rate from 12 starts.

Dangers: No question promising Ribchester filly 5. Lichester is a clear threat off an impressive second-up maiden winner at Kembla when leading from barrier to box, but does jump 4.5kg for this next test. Big gap to the rest, and will be surprised if anything else wins.

How to play it: Noble Attack to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1600m):

Home track four-year-old 1. Fairness Is Best is a consistent and tough performer by Press Statement who has beaten all bar the winner in three of his last four. Loomed to win at Canberra before being edged out late, and is bred to thrive on rain-affected ground.

Dangers: Naturally, lightly raced 3. Princess Mary second-up from the inside draw is the clear threat after being edged out right on the line by a promising one at Kembla. Resuming three-year-old 5. Micky's Pride has been given two trials, and returns in blinkers; while lightly raced metro filly 7. Vegas On Fire gets blinkers added at her fourth start.

How to play it: Fairness Is Best to win and quinella 1 and 3
Odds and Evens: : Odds a special

Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):

Must be aboard well-touted four-year-old Canberra gelding 4. Encantado by Written Tycoon who makes his debut behind two progressive soft track trials. Drawn to get a nice run on speed, and key gear additions are in play. Would only need to be close to the stable's opinion to be beat this lot.

Dangers: Trained on the track, 9. Quizy can peak third-up with blinkers added; while 14. Little Complicated deep into the prep can run into the minor money.

How to play it: Encantado to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 MAIDEN HCP (1000m):

Back to the sprint trip we come, and keen on improving metro three-year-old 7. Good Lieutenant third-up, and with two stablemates expected to come out having raced on saturday. Chased home well in a Midway at Kembla 13 days ago despite finishing a long way from the winner, and that reads well for a race like this. Had enough experience on rain-affected ground, and could well be advantaged drawn wide out if the pattern goes that way.

Dangers: Keep a close watch on Deep Field metro filly 6. Field Of Hope who debuts behind two recent trials. Resuming from the inside barrier, 1. Spiritchaser has trialled impressively, and bred to thrive in the wet.

How to play it: Good Lieutenant to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):

Tricky race, but like the value in a weakened race around tough metro three-year-old 1. Romeo's Choice who is hard fit, and hit the line well in a CL1 after charging home to claim his maiden at the provincials.

Dangers: Improving four-year-old 3. Sennaprost is over the odds after finishing right behind Romeo's Choice third-up; while honest 2. One Destiny coming through some handy form races, and at bigger odds provincial filly 10. Shaday resuming with a light weight off a steady trial; head the rest.

How to play it: Romeo's Choice to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1000m):

Consistent country colt 6. Battle Abbey handles rain-affected ground, and hits peak fitness here after four runs back.

Dangers: Keep very safe big-finishing seven-year-old 1. Backwater Trader who shoots for three wins from his last four coming back in grade after storming home late to beat a handy country BM 66 field, although a big weight rise and inside draw could well come against him. Home tracker 5. Scoffa heads the rest third-up.

How to play it: Battle Abbey to win
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R5 4. ENCANTADO
R6 7. GOOD LIEUTENANT

BEST VALUE:
R4 1. FAIRNESS IS BEST

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Goulburn meeting

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